CryptosBatman

Trump at the FII Summit yesterday:
"Cuba is next. But pretend I didn't say that."
Venezuela: captured Maduro
Iran: strikes ongoing
Cuba: apparently next
Every new conflict means oil risk, inflation risk, Fed stays hawkish, pressure on $BTC
The market is starting to fear a president who's running through a checklist.
Meanwhile $BTC sits at $66K with Fear & Greed at 12.
Tell me again how crypto doesn't react to geopolitics.

Just had the chance to look at the economic projection from the recent FOMC.
Despite Middle-Eastern conflict, things are actually looking quite solid. From the last projection (December):
- GDP is revised up
- Unemployment rate is steady
- A slight increase in PCE inflation
Let's just hope The Fed can make appropriate policies in the near future.

What a big move from $TAO
Price recently broke out of a strong resistance level that had held for the past 6 months and has now reclaimed it as support.
This is our chance to ride the reversal. A clean reclaim and retest setup should do the trick here.

While everyone was focused on the Iran war, the Japanese 2-year bond yield is back at an all-time high.
For context, Japanese institutions are among the biggest holders of US treasuries and European bonds.
If domestic rates are rising, investing locally becomes more attractive.
Imagine the outflow that could have on global markets.

The weekly MACD has been one of the most reliable signals for Bitcoin.
Yes, it's a lagging indicator, but that's exactly the point.
It doesn't predict moves, it confirms them. Every major bullish or bearish reversal over the past year has been preceded by a MACD cross.
Might be too soon to say, but a golden cross seems to be forming. Let's hope we'll see one real soon.

The S&P 500 just broke below its 200-day moving average.
The last time this happened was March 2025, what followed was a -15% drop straight into the April tariff crash.
Not trying to spread fear, but it's worth watching, especially with all the geopolitical tension that's happening.

$IXS is now sitting on support which has been tested multiple times.
It's currently holding, which is a good sign. And if the overall market continue to do well from here, then this zone could be a nice zone for accumulation.

"War and geopolitical tension is rising, gold will go up."
In reality, it's not that simple.
The so-called safe-haven is actually down 24% from its high, right since the US-Israel attack on Iran. Let me break it down for you.
The market is a forward-looking machine. The same way you buy a stock for its future potential, you buy gold because you expect conflict to arise.
Geopolitical fragmentation has been building since Russia-Ukraine in 2022, and that's exactly when gold rallied 240% into its high. Everyone had already bought the rumor.
So when the war actually broke out, it was already price

$BNB is holding up nicely despite the broader market uncertainty.
A bullish divergence is forming and it's looking clean.
As long as the bullish orderblock and FVG hold, the next leg up is on the table for BNB.

What a wild couple of days.
Two days ago, $BTC dumped as Trump issued an ultimatum to Iran. Yesterday, he announced a 5-day ceasefire. Then Iran denied the negotiation claim and attacked Israel.
We can't control the market, but we can control our portfolio. Stay invested, but manage your risk, especially during times like this.
Good luck to all of us.

$BTC just confirmed a hidden bullish divergence, coinciding with Trump's announcement of a 5-day ceasefire with Iran.
That said, it's not all clear yet, Bitcoin is still up against a strong resistance level.
If price manages to reclaim it, we could be in for a short rally.

The market love the latest news regarding the USA-Iran war.
Bitcoin is back above $70,000 after the news got released.