IncomeSharks

One of the most valuable pieces of information out there would be the phone records of a financial advisor. I would bet the days that the phone never stops ringing from angry people wanting out of the markets would all be within 1 month of every local market bottom.

$KHC - Bullish on ketchup and Mac n Cheese here. People still have to eat.

2022 and 2026 midterm years have more in common than are different. I was really hoping for something different but once again we see Energy on a big push while tech is on a big push down. Will make for good tech entries at some point this year.

$META - One of retails favorite stocks. 97% of revenue is from ad sales. Strong growth but when tighter consumer spending habits form and businesses spend less you get a repeat of 2022 to 2023.

In the past decade the S&P 500 has only had two red years (both midterm years). Retail never complains at the insane and abnormal gains year after year but we will see a lot quit or capitulate this year because the emotions of losing are twice as powerful as winning.

$XLP - Consumers staples are usually the safe play or the hedge. The issue is that they are affected by higher OIL prices so now they also suffer. This is what makes the market tougher to trade, there's not even rotation, even the hedges and safe plays are pulling back.

$SPY - I trusted the OBV diagonal breakdown for Bitcoin but thought no way it'd work out this cleanly for Stocks. Yet once again one simple diagonal about as clean as you can get.

I'm just glad Bitcoin already had its correction. It still looks better than so many other stocks. Squiggles still putting up a fight.

$VIX - Usually the best conditions are when volatility is traded as spikes. Even if the dips are more painful they recover quicker. What we are seeing is a much stickier situation which aligns more with a March 2023 midterm year. I'd take a sharp correction over slow bleed.

These are not easy markets to navigate. Last week I stayed bullish for the post Witching bounce, then had to flip back to neutral after noticing a much weaker reaction than I wanted. Then moving into hedges/puts while trimming non long term positions, all in 48 hours. X will say you are flip flopping but being flexible in these markets is keeping my portfolio alive and even in the green while a lot of funds and indexes are red.
There's plenty of great and free information on X and I still share plenty of actionable content. Some might just do better in an a less noisy environment where you can

The past 3 midterm years have all started off with a bloody March post Triple Witching Day.
Both eventually led to the bottom channel touching within 2 years.
Bears will say it's a repeat of 2022 to 2023.
Bulls wills say April was the channel touch and 2018 action more likely

You can't complain about $BTC price action until you've tried holding $RIVN stock.