Hello everyone, let me introduce myself. I am an investor who has been in this circle for many years. Since entering the market in 2017, I have stepped on at least 800 pitfalls, if not a thousand. At first, I blindly followed the trend, buying whatever others bought. Later, I gradually realized that to find my rhythm, I need to study cycles, observe macro trends, and understand capital logic.
Honestly, the crypto market looks like a bunch of numbers fluctuating up and down, but essentially, it’s a game of cycles. In each market cycle, some people rush in with FOMO at the peak of emotions, whil

Regarding the future of BTC, there is a perspective worth deep consideration. Quantum computing is often seen as a threat to Bitcoin, but from another angle, it could actually become an opportunity for Bitcoin to undergo a network upgrade.
Michael Saylor's idea is quite interesting—rather than saying quantum computing will destroy Bitcoin, it might be better to see it as forcing the Bitcoin community to perform a mandatory upgrade. This upgrade process would eliminate those "insecure" old coins and ultimately permanently reduce the effective supply. It sounds like a silver lining in a crisis.

Recently, the US November non-farm payroll data has become the market focus. With only 64,000 new jobs added, this figure is far below the usual market expectation of 150,000 to 200,000. At first glance, this does seem a bit overwhelming, and the market immediately interprets it as a sign of economic slowdown. This concern has put short-term pressure on digital assets.
But interestingly, the story is not over yet. The federal funds futures market quickly responded—repricing the probability of a rate cut in January. Looking further ahead, interest rate futures indicate two rate cuts in 2026. Wh

#加密生态动态追踪 Non-farm payroll data lands, and expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan are brewing. This week, the market has indeed been on a roller coaster. $BTC $ETH $BNB In the short term, volatility may continue to increase—events like Black Friday serve as catalysts. Instead of frequently chasing highs and lows, it's better to hold onto spot positions and wait for calm. Short-term trading costs are too high, and this pace is testing the most patience.

#大户持仓变化 Market Recap for Monday: $BTC $ETH $SOL Technical Trends of the Three Mainstream Coins
Yesterday's trading strategy was quite clear. Bitcoin provided a 1500-point trading range, Ethereum fluctuated within a 60-point range, and Solana experienced a minor adjustment of 5 points.
The most satisfying were the new clients who entered the market early and caught the opportunity, directly earning 3200 USD. In this kind of market, as long as the strategy is correct, profits come naturally.
We will continue to monitor the on-chain movements of large investors to see if any new directional signa

#以太坊行情技术解读 Afternoon's short position layout has been completed, with two key levels hit—Bitcoin gained 1500 points in profit, Ethereum secured 100 points. Watching the rhythm of the market, I feel a bit emotional: why can others make profits when they hold heavy positions, while I keep hesitating? What's more painful is that your take-profit levels are often the entry points for others.
The market never waits for anyone. Instead of being stuck in the dilemma of "should I follow," it's better to find a trading rhythm that suits you and act decisively at key levels. $BTC $ETH $XRP The volatili

The market is playing a very bizarre game—"Pre-guessing the pre-guess."
The facts are clear: the December 19th rate hike by the Bank of Japan (with a 97% probability) is a done deal. Let’s look at the history—three rate hikes in March 2024, July 2024, and January 2025, each of which has pushed Bitcoin down by more than 20%-30%. Once the world's cheapest yen funding tightens, a wave of liquidations will be enough to flood the entire market.
But the strange thing is, Bitcoin has already retraced about 30% from its high. What does this mean? Has the market already "absorbed" this bearish news? Or

#以太坊行情技术解读 Bitcoin is now in the range of 871 to 874. My view is that considering short positions is appropriate.
The target level is 856, which is a relatively key support. There's no need to rush into entries; you can gradually enter with small positions, and add more during rebounds. This way, the risk will be more manageable.
$BTC $ETH $BNB are all paying attention, but the main focus for this wave is still on Bitcoin. Of course, the market can change at any time, so everyone should set their stop-losses properly and avoid over-leveraging.

Recently, the crypto community has been discussing a comparison chart—directly likening the Federal Reserve's short-term Treasury repurchase agreements to "boost" the altcoin market.
The data on the left tells the story of the end of 2021: the Fed's $480 billion T-Bills repurchase operation coincided with a 148-fold surge in the market capitalization of altcoins from the bottom. The prediction on the right is even more aggressive—now, with the Fed planning to purchase $500 billion, some market analysts are estimating that altcoins could rise by 271 times.
This chart looks exciting, but does th

Traders are optimistic about the date—December 16th's economic calendar is fully packed. In the morning, UK unemployment data and Eurozone PMI will be released in turn, and these two data points have a significant impact on the sentiment of the European and American markets. The real highlight comes at 21:30 with the release of non-farm payrolls, retail sales, and wage data—all at once. This serves as a key indicator of Federal Reserve policy expectations, and the crypto market has always been sensitive to US economic data. Later into the night, keep an eye on the speech by the Bank of Canada'

#美联储降息 The latest US employment data shows an interesting phenomenon: non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000, significantly exceeding expectations, yet the unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, which is higher than anticipated. This "one rise, one fall" contradictory signal is stirring the entire market.
Let's first consider the potential impact on cryptocurrencies. Strong non-farm data typically reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, which could reignite expectations of aggressive rate hikes, putting short-term pressure on risk assets like BTC and ETH. But there's a twist—rising unemploymen

In early 2017, I liquidated my restaurant business at a loss. With the remaining 40,000 yuan, I endured three days in front of my trading software, and finally bought three Bitcoin at 12,000 yuan each in one go.
The market was like a roller coaster back then. By the end of 2017, it surged to 500,000 yuan, and I immediately ordered the necklace I had long wanted. The following year, it plummeted, and my account shrank to 120,000 yuan. That was when I truly understood what paper wealth means.
The real turning point came in 2021. I abandoned the strategy of chasing highs and selling lows, and shi

#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 $DOGE $PEPE $SHIB These coins are a long-term test in the crypto world.
To put it simply, the market operates on this logic — those who can endure the downturns will eventually see improvements. Those who can't, naturally, are eliminated by history. This is not just motivational talk, but the iron law of cycles.
The current situation is quite interesting. The Trump topic remains hot, the Dogecoin ecosystem is expanding, and such opportunity windows usually don't last long. From a technical and market expectation perspective, signals of a bull market are indeed accumulating.
Opp

#美联储降息 $WET has been weakening over the past two trading days, clearly showing that large investors are gradually unloading. However, from the daily chart, many bottoming signals have already appeared, and the probability of a short-term rebound is quite high. At this pace, the market makers are very likely to initiate another wave of upward movement and take the opportunity to unload again. This upward move should be able to break through previous highs.
Last night, I recommended entering a long position at 0.201, which is quite suitable based on the intraday bottom, and the risk-reward ratio

This wave of the market is truly incredible. When chasing highs, I got crushed and thought I had bought the bottom, only to see it continue to fall. The rhythm of the manipulators pumping and dumping is completely unpredictable, and small retail investors with limited funds simply can't compete. The painful lesson from this huge loss is very deep. I've really decided that from now on, I will never chase trending coins again. It's better to hold some mainstream coins steadily and avoid unnecessary trouble.

#大户持仓变化 The recent market movement in the afternoon, Bitcoin indeed had a chance to go long at the lows. Unfortunately, some people overslept and missed out on this rally. $BTC Luckily, the bulls caught up in time, finally recovering the points lost. This is trading, and timing is everything.

Non-farm payroll data will be released tonight at 21:30, which is a key trigger point for today’s market.
The morning sideways consolidation, frankly, is the market waiting for this data to land. Once announced, Ethereum is likely to perform within the 2960-2980 range. From a technical perspective, the bearish side appears more stable—finding suitable shorting opportunities in the short term will be the choice for many traders.
Market movements are often like this: a quick probe followed by a sharp decline, and the selling sentiment in the US stock market is also spreading. But here’s a remind

#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 Bitcoin tests support around 85200 amid wide-range fluctuations, then recovers to the 87000 level. The hourly chart shows an increasing trend, and the market is gathering strength.
The key level arrives on Tuesday evening:
Bitcoin is finding its rhythm in the 86800-86300 range, with resistance above at 87800-88800.
Ethereum is building a foundation around 2930-2910, targeting the 2980-3020 range.
$BTC remains calm yet powerful, $ETH flows quietly beneath the surface.

#美联储降息 Elon Musk's communication platform XChat officially launches — focusing on privacy, security, and efficient communication
Musk has made another big move in the X platform ecosystem. The recently launched instant messaging product XChat highlights three core selling points: privacy-first, military-grade encryption, and lightning-fast response.
From a technical architecture perspective, this system is built using the Rust programming language, aligning with Bitcoin-level security standards. What does this mean? Every message and call of the user is protected by end-to-end encryption — th

#大户持仓变化 $WET has already bottomed out. The short position combination entered at 0.247 has now gained about 20% in decline, it’s time to consider locking in profits.
Someone will definitely ask, since the target level of 0.18 hasn't been broken yet, why not keep fighting downward? I recently had in-depth discussions with several traders, carefully examined the accumulation of chips, and found that there is indeed a large amount of funds defending the 0.18 to 0.19 range. In plain terms, this is the strongest support level recently. Friends trading contracts probably all feel it; following this