Dữ liệu PANews: 63% thị trường ngắn hạn trên Polymarket không có giao dịch trong 24 giờ, 505 hợp đồng hàng đầu chiếm 47% khối lượng giao dịch

Coinquora News on January 8: Coinquora recently analyzed 295,000 historical market data from the Polymarket platform. The data shows: 1. Over 60% of short-term markets become “zombies”: Among active markets with cycles shorter than 1 day, 63.16% of contracts have zero trading volume in 24 hours. 2. Scarce short-term liquidity in crypto: The average trading volume of short-term sports markets (1.32 million USD) is 30 times that of crypto markets (440,000 USD), indicating a lack of capital support for short-term crypto predictions. 3. Extreme head effect: Only 505 super contracts with trading volume exceeding 10 million USD (extremely low percentage) monopolize 47% of the platform’s total trading volume. 4. Large capital prefers long-term positions: The average liquidity of long-term predictions (>30 days) is 45 times that of single-day markets, with US politics leading at 28.17 million USD average volume. 5. Geopolitical rise: This sector accounts for 29.7% of active participation, becoming the fastest-growing track. The data indicates that Polymarket is differentiating into a “high-frequency sports casino” and “macro political hedge,” with liquidity highly concentrated in a small number of top narratives.