「Contract Exclusive」Ultra-Simple Overview (2026.3.18–3.24)

I. Core Timing (Most Critical for Contracts)

1. 3.18 Evening–3.19 Early Morning: Fed Interest Rate Decision
This is the only major market reversal window this week, easiest time for wicks and liquidations before and after this day.

2. 3.20–3.24: Trend Confirmation Period
After the rate decision, direction basically sets for the week.

II. BTC Contract Key Levels (Remember Only These 6)

- Long/Short Dividing Line: 74000

- Strong Support 1 (Stop-Loss Level): 71500

- Strong Support 2 (Extreme Panic Level): 70000

- First Resistance (Breakout = Strength): 76000

- Second Target: 78000

- High-Risk Zone (Prone to Pullback): 80000

Contract Signals (Ultra-Simple)

- Holding Above 74000: Lean Long, Dip-Buy Strategy

- Break Below 71500: Bears Dominate, Cautious on Buying Dips

- Break 76000 Without Pullback: Uptrend Confirmed, Can Follow Momentum

III. ETH Contract Key Levels

- Long/Short Dividing Line: 2320

- Support 1: 2250

- Support 2: 2150

- Resistance 1: 2400

- Resistance 2: 2500+

Contract Signals

- ETH Moves with BTC, More Elastic than BTC

- Break 2250: Don't Hold Long Positions Hard

- Break 2400: Short-Term Long Positions Safe

IV. Contract Special Reminders (Life-Saving)

1. Fed Decision Day (3.18–3.19)

- Avoid Heavy Positions, Naked Positions, High Leverage

- Reduce Position 1 Hour Before Data Release, Avoid Wick Liquidations

2. Position Sizing Recommendations (Universal Safety Line)

- Short-Term: ≤10% Position Size

- Leverage: Spot Traders ≤5x, Veterans ≤10–20x

- Always Set Stop-Loss on Every Trade, Don't Hold Beyond It

3. Most Likely Market Scripts This Week

- Fed Neutral/Dovish → Rally Then Oscillate

- Fed Hawkish → Direct Sharp Selloff, Then Consolidation