過去一週，Hedera (HBAR) 經歷了顯著下跌，價格暴跌至0.130美元，跌幅超過18%。值得注意的是，HBAR 已經跌破了關鍵支撐位，這一支撐被視為過去一個多月以來保護投資者利潤的「防線」。
Hedera「緊跟」比特幣
目前，Hedera 與比特幣的相關係數達到0.97——這是近幾個月來的最高水平之一。這種幾乎完美的相關性顯示 HBAR 正緊密反映比特幣的波動。
這一現象在比特幣遭遇強烈賣壓時尤為令人擔憂，正如上週所發生的那樣。當 BTC 跌至84,408美元時，HBAR 也幾乎同步下滑。高度相關性讓 Hedera 難以獨立運作，使比特幣的跌勢成為 HBAR 深度下跌的主要因素。
MHBAR 與比特幣的相關性 | 資料來源：TradingView 宏觀動能指標也加強了負面趨勢。Chaikin Money Flow 指數目前處於八個月來新低，反映資金大舉流出 HBAR。該指數衡量買賣壓力，深度負值說明投資者正以愈來愈快的速度撤資。
資金持續流出進一步加劇了本已疲弱的價格走勢。當資產流動性流失，賣壓加大，反彈的可能性變得更加渺茫。
ChHBAR 的 CMF 指數 | 資料來源：TradingView 若沒有新資金流入，HBAR 在重拾成長動能方面將持續面臨困難。
HBAR 復甦展望
失守0.162美元這一關鍵支撐——該支撐已維持逾一個月後，HBAR 本週下跌了18%。失去這一支撐讓其面臨更深跌幅的風險，隨著市場情緒轉為悲觀，價格波動性也加劇。
在宏觀因素尚未出現改善跡象的情況下，HBAR 可能自目前0.129美元的價格，繼續調整至0.120美元區間。若跌破0.120美元，賣壓可能進一步將價格推低至0.110美元。
PhHBAR 價格分析 | 資料來源：TradingView 反之，若買盤回歸，HBAR 有望復甦。突破0.133美元將是趨勢重新穩定的第一信號。若進一步突破0.145美元，HBAR 將有機會衝向0.154美元及更高區間，從而扭轉負面前景並恢復投資者信心。
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