Terra Classic (LUNC) 輕微下跌1%於週四報導時,暫時在週三錄得的13%大幅漲幅後趨於平穩。LUNC的銷毀活動仍在穩定進行,僅在週三就銷毀了超過1.24億個代幣,為該幣的短期漲勢提供動力。儘管如此,技術指標顯示目前的下行趨勢仍占優勢,因為之前的反彈都迅速消退且未能持續。
每日銷毀代幣推動LUNC價格
來自LUNCmetrics的數據顯示,LUNC的銷毀率大幅上升,成為推動Terra Classic價格反彈的重要催化劑。僅在週三,就銷毀了超過1.24億個LUNC,創下自12月17日以來的最高水平,從而將流通中的代幣總數降低至超過4300億。理論上,供應量的減少通常有助於推動價格上漲;然而,LUNC仍面臨嚴重的供過於求問題,約有6.47萬億個代幣仍在流通中,對市場形成持續的賣壓。
Tổng số lượng LUNA Classic đã bị đốt | Nguồn: LUNCmetrics值得注意的是,當前的反彈很可能反映市場已“提前定價”了與Terra相關的法律風險,包括Do Kwon最後的聽證會,可能導致15年的監禁,以及對Jump Trading價值40億美元的訴訟,指控其從Terra Labs崩潰(價值40億美元)中牟取非法利益。
技術展望:LUNC能否持續反彈?
週三,Terra Classic (LUNC)的強勁13%漲幅正式結束了連續三天的下跌,並幫助價格突破50日指數移動平均線(EMA) 0.00004055美元的阻力位。然而,週四,LUNC略微調整約1%,目前仍在100日EMA線(0.00004309美元)這一重要阻力位前掙扎。
在樂觀情境下,如果LUNC能突破這條移動平均線,價格很可能會繼續向200日EMA線(0.00004963美元)攀升,該區域與Pivot R1點(約0.00004945美元)重合,是一個值得關注的阻力區域。
每日LUNC/USDT圖表 | 資料來源:TradingView日線技術指標目前仍顯示中性狀態,但逐漸出現偏多的信號。相對強弱指標(RSI)在51附近波動,接近中性線,反映買賣雙方的拉鋸。
值得注意的是,MACD線正接近信號線,動能明顯減弱,可能很快形成多頭交叉,觸發買入信號,為LUNC的反彈提供機會。
反之,如果價格未能守住0.00004055美元的支撐位並進一步下跌,LUNC可能會回測12月19日的低點,即0.00003610美元區域。
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