一位知名的日本分析師表示,除非XRP突破一個關鍵阻力位,否則XRP投資者可能無法迎來世代財富。
值得注意的是,在XRP社群中,關於實現世代財富的討論一直佔據主導地位,並有人建議XRP在未來幾年可能會看到令人印象深刻的增長,尤其是在其實用性價格進入時。例如,市場觀察員Digital G在2024年12月曾建議,XRP是實現世代財富的最大機會。
除了他之外,像Coach JV這樣的投資者也相信XRP可以引領投資者走向世代財富。然而,日本知名市場分析師Han Akamatsu則指出,XRP必須滿足某個條件,才能為投資者帶來世代財富的機會。
直到2.5美元讓步,世代財富仍遙不可及
具體來說,在2025年10月17日跌至低點2.18美元後,XRP在十天內反彈至2.6美元的高點。然而,這一水平的阻力導致其在11月初回落至$2 。XRP試圖再次反彈,但在2025年11月10日和11日再次遇到2.58美元的阻力,導致其回撤,並在12月跌破$2 。
現在,Akamatsu強調了這一水平的重要性,認為多頭需要喘口氣,才能再次嘗試突破。值得注意的是,在2025年12月的大幅下跌後,XRP已經以看漲動能迎來2026年新的一年,五天內漲幅達16.39%。然而,Akamatsu堅持認為XRP仍處於看跌結構中。
XRP 1W圖表 | Han Akamatsu## XRP仍處於下跌通道內
根據他所說,這個山寨幣仍處於一個多週的下跌通道中,該通道始於2025年7月從3.65美元高點崩潰之後形成。Akamatsu的圖表數據證實,儘管2026年漲了16%,但XRP仍未突破下跌通道的上軌線。市場分析師堅稱,XRP“沒有逃脫任何東西”。
此外,Akamatsu透露,2.5美元的水平與200日移動平均線和1週Hull移動平均線(1WHMA)相符。值得注意的是,1WHMA能捕捉長期趨勢,因為它對價格變動的反應比傳統移動平均線更快。這些重要移動平均線在2.5美元阻力位的佈局,證實了這個阻力的強大。
在XRP能重新測試這個2.5美元阻力之前,它必須先突破下跌通道,該通道的上軌阻力位在2.3美元。然而,市場分析師指出,如果XRP在突破通道後再次在2.5美元遇到拒絕,可能會導致進一步的痛苦。總結來說,Akamatsu對XRP持悲觀展望。
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