BlockBeats 消息，1 月 6 日，研究機構觀點指出，美國勞動力市場結構性降溫趨勢正在加深，失業率、離職率與工資增速同步走弱，顯示需求端放緩而非短期波動。這意味著即便經濟未出現衰退，美聯儲為避免政策「過度緊縮」，未來一至兩年可能被迫採取比市場當前定價更激進的降息路徑。在宏觀層面，若實際利率下行速度快於預期，美元中期承壓幾乎難以避免，資金將重新尋找具備抗通脹與對沖貨幣信用風險的資產。黃金因此重獲結構性支撐，而這一邏輯亦正逐步外溢至加密市場。Bitunix 分析師觀點：在就業放緩與 PMI 數據偏弱的雙重宏觀背景下，市場已開始提前交易寬鬆風險溢價。黃金的牛市結構因利率下行預期而穩固，而加密資產的吸引力正逐步被重新定價。PMI 若低於預期，將在短期內強化避險與寬鬆押注，可能引發黃金快速走高及加密市場波動加劇。中期而言將強化寬鬆敘事，利好風險資產估值修復，但也需警惕資金對美元流動性及波動性資產的反覆交易。
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