PANews 1月8日消息，PANews近日分析了Polymarket平台29.5万个历史市场数据，数据显示:
1、超六成短期市场沦为“僵尸”：在周期小于1天的活跃市场中，63.16%的合约24小时交易量为0。
2、加密短线流动性匮乏：短线体育市场平均交易量（132万美元）是加密类（4.4万美元）的30倍，加密短线预测缺乏资金支撑。
3、極端的頭部效應：僅505個交易量超千萬美元的超級合約（數量占比極低），卻壟斷了全平台47%的總交易量。
4、大資金偏好長線：長期預測（>30天）的平均流動性是單日市場的45倍，其中美國政治類以2817萬美元均量領跑。
5、地緣政治崛起：該板塊活躍占比達29.7%，成為增長最快的賽道。
數據表明，Polymarket正分化為“高頻體育賭場”和“宏觀政治對沖”，流動性高度集中於極少數頭部敘事。
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