Algorand (ALGO) 在技術指標和鏈上數據同步改善的情況下,正面臨突破的機會

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Algorand價格(ALGO)在周四保持橫盤狀態,接近市場一個關鍵支撐區域。這一價格穩住可能為下一波反彈提供空間。值得注意的是,投資者情緒正逐步改善,鏈上指標和衍生品市場顯示出更積極的預期。從技術面來看,整體圖形仍偏向多頭,牛市資金正朝著短期突破0.150美元的目標邁進。

Algorand的鏈上和衍生數據顯示情緒改善

根據DefiLlama的數據,Algorand的總鎖倉價值(TVL)自12月中旬以來持續穩定上升,目前約為5470萬美元。這表明資金正回流到Algorand生態系,反映用戶對平台的關注度日益增加,積極在ALGO建構的協議上存入和部署資產。

ALGO TVL圖表 | 來源:DefiLlama同時,CryptoQuant的綜合數據進一步鞏固市場的樂觀前景。ALGO的現貨市場和期貨市場都出現了大額的買入訂單,顯示多頭佔據明顯優勢。這傳遞出一個訊號,即未來幾天ALGO的價格可能進入新一輪的上漲。

來源:CryptoQuant在衍生市場方面,指標也偏向看漲。Algorand的資金費率持續維持正向趨勢,Coinglass的OI加權資金費率數據顯示,押注上漲的交易者數量超過看跌者。值得注意的是,該指標自本週初轉為正值,並在周四升至0.0084%,顯示多頭願意支付費用以維持多單倉位。過去,資金費率由負轉正並持續擴大,通常伴隨Algorand的顯著漲勢。

Algorand資金費率圖表 | 來源:Coinglass## Algorand價格預測:若能守住關鍵支撐,ALGO可能上行

Algorand價格突破了由8月初以來連接高點和低點形成的下降楔形形態——在周日完成突破,隨後在接下來的兩個交易日內上漲近5%。然而,當ALGO在週中略作調整,並在周四在剛突破的趨勢線附近震盪,顯示市場正在測試該支撐區。

在樂觀情境下,如果該趨勢線——接近50日指數移動平均線(EMA) 0.133美元——能持續作為支撐,ALGO很可能重新獲得上漲動能,並朝著短期阻力區0.152美元邁進。成功收盤站上此水平,可能為更大幅度的漲勢打開空間,下一個目標是重要阻力區0.186美元。

ALGO/USDT日線圖 | 來源:TradingView從技術面來看,日線RSI目前在59,高於中性50,反映上漲動能逐步鞏固。同時,MACD出現多頭交叉信號,且直方圖的綠色柱子持續擴大,進一步增強看漲預期。

相反地,如果趨勢線無法持續作為支撐,賣壓可能增加,導致ALGO價格回落至約0.120美元的支撐區。

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