分析:比特币與黃金相關性轉負,歷史信號指向BTC至少上漲50%

BTC-3.48%

BlockBeats 消息,1 月 14 日,数据显示,比特币與黃金的 52 週相關性已降至零,為 2022 年中以來首次,且可能在 1 月底轉為負值。歷史上,在類似情形下,比特幣通常會在約兩個月內平均上漲 56%,對應價格區間約為 14.4 萬至 15 萬美元。

分析指出,比特幣與黃金走勢背離,往往預示 BTC 將走出強勢行情。當前宏觀環境亦被視為利多,包括全球流動性回升(M2 增長)以及美聯儲量化緊縮(QT)接近結束。Bitwise 研究主管 Matt Hougan 表示,新一輪全球貨幣寬鬆周期已啟動,或在 2026 年持續推動比特幣價格上行。

從周期結構來看,分析師認為比特幣走勢正在復刻 2020–2021 年牛市路徑,已從長期盤整階段轉入「準抛物線」上漲前段。若歷史分形延續,BTC 本輪目標價或指向 15 萬美元附近。

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GateUser-22989f6avip
· 01-13 18:07
HODL 堅持 💪
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GateUser-22989f6avip
· 01-13 18:06
牛證 🐂
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