2月2日消息，随着加密货币市场抛压持续累积，Solana价格十个月来首次失守100美元关口，市场目光迅速转向下一个支撑位。截至发稿，SOL报98.03美元，24小时跌幅6.3%，近7天下挫约20%，30天跌幅接近25%。
这是自2025年4月短暂跌破100美元并反弹以来，SOL首次持续运行在该水平下方，且回落幅度更深。成交活跃度同步降温，24小时成交量回落至约76亿美元，显示抛售动能在释放后有所降速。衍生品层面，总成交量与未平仓合约同步下滑，多头平仓迹象明显。
宏观环境同样施压。美国货币政策预期再度趋紧，加之中东局势升温，风险偏好持续走弱，加密资产再度成为资金避险撤离的对象。不过，链上基本面仍具韧性。数据显示，Solana网络1月处理交易量同比增长33%，在多条公链中保持领先。同时，美国现货Solana ETF当月仍录得资金净流入，说明部分机构并未完全撤离。
技术面上，SOL日线维持下行结构，价格远低于短期均线，布林带开口放大且贴近下轨，空头动能仍占优势。RSI已跌至25附近，进入深度超卖区，虽可能带来短线反弹，但尚不足以扭转趋势。
下方重要区域位于92至90美元，其次是85美元一带；若情绪继续恶化，80美元或成为中期防线。多头需尽快收复100美元并站上短期均线，才能为结构修复争取空间。在此之前，SOL价格的任何回升，仍更像是在下行通道中的技术修正。
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