2月5日消息,加密貨幣市場持續承壓,比特幣價格周三跌破7萬美元關口,創下自特朗普當選美國總統以來的新低。過去24小時內,包括以太坊(ETH)、BNB、瑞波幣(XRP)、Solana(SOL)、狗狗幣(DOGE)和Cardano(ADA)在內的主流山寨幣均下跌6%至10%,市場恐慌情緒顯著升溫。
Coinglass數據顯示,過去一天內,全球加密市場清算金額超過8億美元,16.5萬名交易者遭遇平倉,Hyperliquid平台上的最大單筆清算達1136萬美元。比特幣與以太坊的期權交易顯示下行風險加劇,25 delta偏斜度下降,提示短期熊市可能延續。Glassnode數據顯示,淨已實現損益三日均線每日下跌3.17億美元,為2022年以來首次,表明流動性減弱且市場承壓。
技術面亦顯示進一步下行風險,比特幣跌破2022年以來的365日移動平均線,可能下探6萬至7萬美元區間。知名分析師Peter Brandt及Michael Burry警告,比特幣價格或進一步下行至5.8萬美元,暴跌可能影響比特幣交易公司、貴金屬市場及整體金融市場。Strategy公司比特幣持倉面臨約40億美元未實現損失,MSTR股票收盤下跌3.13%,報129.09美元。
機構需求減弱,現貨比特幣ETF持續資金外流,貝萊德抛售約3.738億美元比特幣。市場情緒方面,加密貨幣恐懼與貪婪指數降至極度恐慌區域,投資者謹慎情緒高企。分析師Michael van de Poppe指出,比特幣/標普500周線RSI已觸及歷史低點,而Ali Martinez警告若比特幣跌破77,086美元,下個關鍵支撐位在60,176美元和47,824美元。
綜合來看,比特幣及主流山寨幣的下跌反映市場結構性疲軟,短期內熊市信號明顯,投資者需關注槓桿清算風險及現貨ETF資金流向。
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