PANews 2月5日消息,据CoinDesk报道,德意志银行在一份报告中指出,比特币近期的下跌更多反映了市场信心的流失,而非市场结构崩溃。报告认为,持续的机构资金流出、与传统市场锚定关系的脱钩以及监管动能的减弱是导致下跌的三个主要因素。尽管如此,报告认为当前阶段是市场的一次重置,将考验比特币能否超越信念驱动型上涨,重新获得监管和机构资本的支持。
报告显示,自2025年10月見頂以來,比特幣已下跌超40%,且連續四個月收跌,而同期黃金上漲超60%,股市亦出現反彈,凸顯比特幣與黃金、股票的相關性均已顯著減弱。機構拋壓是直接壓力來源,美國現貨比特幣ETF自去年10月以來持續錄得資金淨流出,11月流出超70億美元,12月和1月分別流出約20億和30億美元。交易量隨之萎縮,使價格更易劇烈波動。監管進展的遲滯也加劇了市場波動。兩黨《數字資產市場清晰法案》因穩定幣條款爭議在國會陷入停滯,導致比特幣30日波動率回升至40%以上,接近去年10月底水平。此外,市場情緒指標顯示零售興趣正在降溫。
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