Solana價格預測:SOL三個月累跌44%仍獲ETF資金加持,機構逆勢布局

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SOL-0.39%

Solana(SOL)周一徘徊在90美元下方,尽管上周五出现11%的技术性反弹,但本周仍回落约14%。在整体加密市场承压的背景下,SOL过去三个月累计下跌44%,市场情绪持续谨慎。

值得关注的是,价格回落并未阻止机构资金布局。数据显示,Bitwise Solana Staking ETF在2月6日录得约148万美元净流入,使其管理规模升至4.47亿美元。当前多只Solana相关ETF合计资产约为6.74亿美元。部分产品虽出现资金流出,但质押型ETF的持续申购,显示长期投资者正在利用低位进行配置。

ETF资金与价格走势出现明显背离,反映出中长期机构与短线交易者之间的策略差异。前者更关注网络基本面和质押收益,而后者则因宏观不确定性选择观望。

衍生品市场方面,SOL期货未平仓合约24小时内下降2%,至约53亿美元,说明杠杆资金正在收缩。融资利率维持在负值,空头情绪依然占优。同期多空清算金额接近,波动性仍处高位。

技术层面,SOL低于50日和200日均线,趋势仍偏弱。RSI跌至29附近,进入超卖区域,短线存在反弹空间,但动能不足。关键阻力位集中在111美元一带,若无法站稳,该区域可能成为新的抛压区。下方重要支撑仍在67美元,更深支撑位看向51美元。

截至发稿时,SOL报约87.77美元。短期走势仍受宏观与资金流向影响,而ETF持续吸纳,或为Solana中长期前景提供一层潜在支撑。

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