Zcash價格預測:大持有者7天拋售38%,ZEC技術形態指向66%下行空間

ZEC-1.77%

2月13日消息,隐私型加密資產Zcash近期承壓明顯。過去24小時內,其價格下跌約7%,而過去七天內,大持有者持倉量減少約38%,引發市場對中期走勢的強烈擔憂。儘管該資產在一周內仍錄得約5.8%的反彈,但從月度維度看,跌幅已超過40%,波動幅度顯著放大。

鏈上數據顯示,雖然2月12日出現短暫的資金淨流出,暗示部分低位承接,但隨後交易所相關的代幣流入持續增加,說明更多Zcash正從私人錢包轉入可流通狀態。這種結構性變化通常被解讀為潛在的拋壓信號。與此同時,前100個地址仍掌控著約70%的總供應量,籌碼集中度較高,使價格更易受到大戶行為影響。

從技術結構看,分析師在日線圖上識別出典型的看跌旗形整理形態。該形態通常出現在快速下挫後的橫向修復階段,一旦向下破位,後續跌幅往往與前一輪下跌幅度相當。以目前測算,如果形態完成,Zcash存在接近66%的下行空間。此外,從去年10月至今年2月,價格持續抬高,但RSI卻逐步走低,形成長時間看跌背離,表明動能正在衰減。

RSI目前仍處於下行通道,價格與動量指標之間的差距不斷擴大,反映買盤力量不足。鏈上“智能資金”指標保持平穩,尚未出現明確的增持信號。市場觀察人士指出,近期相對抗跌的表現,恰恰發生在大額持倉者分散倉位的階段,這為當前價位埋下不穩定因素。

短期內,若價格無法有效突破上方阻力區,或跌破關鍵支撐位,拋壓可能進一步放大。投資者需密切關注鏈上流動變化與關鍵技術位,以評估後續風險。

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我是海峰vip
· 02-13 06:27
2月13日消息,隐私型加密资产Zcash近期承压明显。过去24小时内,其价格下跌约7%,而过去七天内,大持有者持仓量减少约38%,引发市场对中期走势的强烈担忧。尽管该资产在一周内仍录得约5.8%的反弹,但从月度维度看,跌幅已超过40%,波动幅度显著放大。 链上数据显示,虽然2月12日出现短暂的资金净流出,暗示部分低位承接,但随后交易所相关的代币流入持续增加,说明更多Zcash正从私人钱包转入可流通状态。这种结构性变化通常被解读为潜在的抛压信号。与此同时,前100个地址仍掌控着约70%的总供应量,筹码集中度较高,使价格更易受到大户行为影响。
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