Kalshi與經紀公司Game Point Capital達成合作，進軍機構體育風險對沖領域

預測市場 Opinion Labs 推 50% Maker 返傭，每日 USDT 發放、最高可達 60%

預測市場平台 Opinion 宣布推出 50% Maker 返傭機制，做市商可在訂單成交後獲得手續費的一半獎勵，並以 USDT 每日支付。此次計畫可與現有的 Maker Liquidity Points 積分計畫疊加，未來將有更高的返傭等級，最高可達 60%，需鎖定 $OPN 代幣。此舉旨在吸引更多流動性，與競品 Polymarket 競爭愈加激烈。

Opinion 啟動流動性激勵機制，50% 手續費分配給流動性提供者

Gate News reported that on March 13, prediction market platform Opinion announced the launch of a liquidity incentive mechanism. Starting immediately, the platform will allocate 50% of the transaction fees from each successful order to users who provide liquidity for that order, to incentivize liquidity provision and optimize market depth. The mechanism aims to attract more liquidity providers to participate in market making, further enhancing overall market activity.

On Polymarket, the odds of Based FDV breaking through $100 million in bets within 1 day of launch have dropped to 45%

Gate News report, on March 13, Polymarket prediction market data shows that the probability of betting "Based FDV breaking through $100 million within 1 day after launch" has decreased to 45%. Additionally, the probability of breaking through $200 million within 1 day after launch is 19%, and the probability of breaking through $300 million within 1 day after launch is 7%. The trading volume of this prediction event has exceeded $3 million.

比特幣在15年內達到黃金市值，斯卡拉穆奇預測；屆時BTC成本是多少？- U.Today

Anthony Scaramucci 對比特幣表達了強烈的信心，聲稱這是他最大的投資。他預測比特幣可能達到黃金的價值，在 10-15 年內可能觸及每枚 150 萬美元。Tim Draper 也預測比特幣價格將大幅上漲，強調其供應量有限。

Polymarket「俄烏 3 月底前停火」預測概率跌至 2%，總交易量達 2472 萬美元

Gate News 消息，3 月 13 日，Polymarket 預測市場「俄羅斯與烏克蘭是否會在 2026 年 3 月 31 日前停火」事件中，俄烏在 3 月底前達成停火的概率下跌至 2%。該市場 24 小時成交量約 35.5 萬美元，總交易量已達 2472.6 萬美元。該事件概率此前一度走高，但本月持續回落，成交量卻持續放大。主流交易者仍將俄烏短期停火視為極小概率事件。