2月25日消息，Cardano（ADA）在經歷長達數月的下行後仍處於弱勢區間震盪，當前價格約為0.275美元，24小時小幅回落約2.7%，徘徊在周線區間0.2581美元至0.3004美元的中部。儘管近一周出現約6.5%的反彈，但過去30天下跌25%、六個月累計跌幅高達71%，顯示中長期趨勢仍受壓制。
鏈上數據平台Santiment披露，持有10萬至1億枚ADA的巨鯨與大戶地址在過去六個月累計增持約8.194億枚ADA，按現價估算價值約2.13億美元。值得注意的是，這一增持行為與ADA從0.90美元跌至0.26美元的區間同步發生，反映出資金實力較強的參與者正在低位持續吸籌，而非恐慌性撤離市場。
衍生品數據亦顯示市場情緒趨於冷靜。數據顯示，24小時交易量降至約3.39億美元，未平倉合約同步小幅下降，這類量能收縮通常意味著投機槓桿降溫，更接近盤整階段而非加速下跌階段。價格在0.25美元至0.26美元區域多次獲得支撐，表明該區間存在明顯需求承接。
生態層面也在釋放長期信號。隱私側鏈Midnight主網推進、機構配置興趣提升，以及資產抵押與金融產品准入渠道擴大，均有助於增強ADA在去中心化金融與隱私應用領域的實際使用場景，從而改善中長期流動性基礎。
技術結構上，ADA仍運行在20日與50日均線下方，0.27至0.28美元構成動態阻力區。布林帶持續收窄，暗示波動率壓縮接近臨界點；RSI自超賣區回升至30-40區間，顯示抛壓有所緩解但動能尚未轉強。若後續放量突破0.30美元阻力帶，短期走勢有望上探0.32美元；反之，一旦0.25美元支撐失守，價格可能進一步測試0.20美元心理關口，市場將重新評估Cardano價格反轉時機。
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