- 比特幣和以太坊在伊朗緊張局勢短暫下跌後迅速回升，顯示市場謹慎而有韌性。
- 3億美元的流動性清算仍受到控制，一些資金轉向代幣化黃金，作為24/7的風險對沖工具。
- 期權流向暗示交易者預期三月反彈，儘管近期價格下跌，反映在波動期間的策略性布局。
隨著美伊緊張局勢升級，加密貨幣投資者在週末面臨重新的不確定性。週六的美國空襲使比特幣短暫升至63,000美元，以太坊升至1,910美元，之後兩者都回到之前的區間。
根據QCP數據，約有3億美元的多頭清算發生，但賣壓仍受到控制。因此，市場參與者可能在週末前持倉較輕或已進行風險對沖。此外，一部分資金似乎轉向代幣化黃金，該資產全天候交易，在地緣政治事件期間吸引避險資金流入。
市場的反應與過去混亂拋售的情況截然不同。例如，一天期權的隱含波動率曾升至93%，但很快回落到正常水平，難以持續超過60的波動率。
此外，期權流向顯示出策略性布局，包括購買1000份BTC-27MAR26-74k-C和4000份BTC-27MAR26-75k-C，表明儘管連續五個月下跌，交易者仍押注三月可能反彈。
過去罷工的教訓
例如，歷史趨勢顯示，六月份的週末罷工期間，比特幣曾跌破10萬美元大關，但在幾週內升至12.3萬美元以上。有人推測，當前市場反應可能類似於那段時間的情況，儘管此次罷工規模更大。
此外，特朗普政府的地緣政治市場趨勢顯示，意圖在四週內控制軍事行動。
市場展望與主要風險
然而，仍需保持謹慎，因為衝突仍處於早期階段，進一步升級可能涉及其他海灣國家。分析師應密切關注伊朗威脅以色列的能力以及美國海軍在霍爾木茲海峽的軍事活動。此外，代幣化黃金等資產的流入，反映出市場對加密貨幣風險的看法正在轉變。
免責聲明：本頁面資訊可能來自第三方，不代表 Gate 的觀點或意見。頁面顯示的內容僅供參考，不構成任何財務、投資或法律建議。Gate 對資訊的準確性、完整性不作保證，對因使用本資訊而產生的任何損失不承擔責任。虛擬資產投資屬高風險行為，價格波動劇烈，您可能損失全部投資本金。請充分了解相關風險，並根據自身財務狀況和風險承受能力謹慎決策。具體內容詳見
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