某個疑似與美伊衝突相關的內幕錢包投入3000美元預測伊朗政權將在3月31日前垮台

犹他州 HB243 法案将预测市场定义为赌博，Kalshi 提起联邦诉讼

Utah HB243 bill classifies "proposition betting" as gambling, expected to be signed by the governor, prohibiting platforms like Kalshi from operating. Kalshi has filed federal litigation, arguing its contracts are derivatives, while the CFTC chair stated it will defend its regulatory authority.

두 개의 높은 승률 주소가 15,000달러를 투자하여 미국-이란이 5월 전에 휴전하지 않을 것으로 押注 Wait, let me correct that. You asked for Traditional Chinese translation, but the text is already in Traditional Chinese. 两个高胜率地址投入1.5万美元，押注美伊五月前不会停火

On March 12, PolyBeats detected two high win-rate addresses betting on prediction markets that "the US and Iran will not cease fire before May," collectively investing 15,000 USD, with the current price at 52.5¢. Meanwhile, Iran escalated attacks on Gulf shipping, causing transit through the Strait of Hormuz to stall, with analysts seeing no signs of de-escalation.

Wall Street Giants Betting on Prediction Markets: Open Interest Hits $1.2 Billion New High, U.S. Congress Prepares to Regulate

隨著預測市場交易規模擴大，華爾街大型經紀機構逐漸進入該領域。然而，立法者對其潛在風險表達擔憂，計劃實施新監管措施。機構資金和年輕投資者推動市場發展，但監管層對快速擴張的關注增加。

3個高盈利帳戶投入1.33萬美元，押注以色列將於本月在黎巴嫩發動大規模地面攻勢

預測市場平台數據顯示，3個帳戶合計投入1.33萬美元，押注以色列將在3月31日前對黎巴嫩發動大規模攻勢，目前概率為68.5%。儘管以色列軍方支持行動，但美國对此持保留態度。

Kalshi 提起訴訟對愛荷華州監管機構

Kalshi 已對愛荷華州監管機構提起訴訟，聲稱他們可能會對其聯邦監管的體育相關事件合約施加限制，並可能對平台採取執法行動。這場法律爭端突顯了州與聯邦監管預測市場之間的緊張關係。

拒絕拿生命打賭！美國議員提出法案，嚴禁預測市場戰爭&死亡賭注

美國參議員Adam Schiff提出「死亡賭注法案」，全面禁止預測市場中有關恐怖主義、戰爭及死亡的合約，旨在消除CFTC的監管彈性並防範國安風險。此舉是對近期CFTC放鬆監管的直接挑戰，並強調此類賭注將助長內部人獲利，對公共利益無益。此法案及類似動作旨在回應預測市場引發的道德爭議。