永乐新的征程

Ethereum Daily Analysis: Currently, the price has broken below the Bollinger Band midline, with the downtrend continuing. MACD indicator shows weakening bullish momentum, and the dual lines are above the zero line turning downward. On smaller timeframes, after weekend consolidation, the early morning low retraced to the 2024 level. The current rebound to 2065 is merely a technical correction. The chart clearly shows bearish momentum is still releasing, and the weak downtrend pattern remains unchanged. Any rebound is a bull trap—do not blindly chase the bottom!
Ethereum Reference: Short at 2068

以太坊四小時圖進一步確認了下行趨勢，短期小級別來看，下方仍有一定空間，午后遺憾沒有機會進場做空，晚間操作可以更激進一些，直接空一輪。
以太坊：2133做空，目標2073，止損30點#BTC #ETH

Early morning announcement: The Federal Reserve maintains its current interest rates, whilst Powell adopts a hawkish stance. The main reasons, as explained earlier today, stem from war impacts, higher inflation expectations, and the elimination of rate cut possibilities.
Looking at the Ethereum chart currently, the price followed this early morning commentary, testing lows near 2150 before oscillating upward. As of now, Ethereum is trading around 2200, though there was a false breakout during this period. Due to insufficient bullish momentum, the price retested below 2200. On the hourly chart,

從比特幣清算地圖來看，狗莊向上摸的欲望都變低了，因為下方籌碼亮的刺眼，多頭扎堆清算區域，目前上方扎堆籌碼在7.5-7.55w區間，但對比下方還是差很多，意味著助推燃料越來越少了
所以在量能衰減的情況下費那麼大勁拉上去做突破的概率不大，強勢一點也就是借助晚上消息面向上誘多摸一下還是有可能的，然後再快速下去清算多頭籌碼的可能性更高一點
當然，也有可能不去摸上方直接下去清算多頭，怎麼看多頭好像都不太佔優勢，不建議大家去做多，可能隨時下去。

The big coin has been held for more than a day, currently the 74400 🈳 already has a 1600 point range, directly closed out, waiting for the midnight meeting situation to choose the direction
#BTC #ETH

思路完整成功，早晨分享以太2340空目前驗證目標位置，60點落袋#BTC #ETH

Ethereum trend analysis shows that after hitting a high near 2385, it pulled back. During the night session, the price began oscillating and adjusting after touching the 2300 level. On smaller timeframes, the bullish momentum is gradually weakening. The closing gains from the stock market had limited impact. On the 1-hour chart, MACD bearish volume continues to expand. The Bollinger Band channel continues to narrow. For daytime operations, maintain a bearish bias.
Ethereum: Short at 2340, target 2280, stop loss 35 points#BTC #ETH

BTC from the liquidation chart perspective, the secondary high near 75k is exactly a chip accumulation zone. If it rallies up to hit a secondary high and the chips in this zone are basically all liquidated at the same time, and bearish fuel can't push the price up much further, after digesting this, it may need to liquidate longs next. So I wouldn't recommend chasing the rally here.

Big Bitcoin tested the 76,000 resistance in the morning without success and then pulled back. Looking at the 4-hour chart, KDJ shows a dead cross moving downward, while MACD momentum is shrinking. On the 1-hour level, it has formed a sharp top pattern, and the current price has broken below the middle band support of the Bollinger Band. Currently, the middle band of the Bollinger Band has completed a small-level reversal of support and resistance. In the afternoon, pay close attention to the 73,800 zone. If it breaks down early, subsequent pullbacks will be smoother.
Big Bitcoin Reference: Sho

日內以太分享2358做🈳，目前已到達目標，拿下60點，2300位置並未實體跌破，暫時保持觀望！
#BTC #ETH

Ethereum on the 4-hour level shows price in a 9-day rally near the upper Bollinger Band channel, with the morning high reaching around 2385, from a technical perspective, the KDJ three lines have entered the overbought zone. On the 1-hour level, after the morning spike, a gravestone doji formed followed by a pullback, currently price is oscillating at high levels, the MACD indicator's dual lines have formed a high-level bearish crossover moving downward, bullish volume has significantly weakened. For short-term operations, it is not recommended to continue chasing higher, intraday focus on a p

Bitcoin bounced again in the morning, reaching close to 7.6w at its highest point, and yesterday's shared strategy above 73700 was successfully validated with a 2000-point gain!
#BTC #ETH

📈成功延续，以太日内2174多思路拿下80點，後續能否繼續延續上行，需要關注2250一線是否完成壓力支撐轉換
#BTC #ETH

BTC market sentiment remains strong with continued price appreciation. From an hourly perspective, this morning shows consolidation with pressure testing and pullbacks. The resistance level near 73500 has already been breached. Looking at recent price action, after two rounds of increases, the selling pressure at this level has been largely absorbed. If price can maintain stable positioning above 73k intraday, there's potential for subsequent tests of resistance around 76k.
Bitcoin: 73700+, Target 75700, Stop loss 1000 points

After weekend oscillation, Ethereum has accelerated upward recently. Looking at the hourly level, after price touched the 2200 resistance level, it underwent a wave of top oscillation adjustment. The short-term retracement rise accompanied by capital inflow suggests that the probability of a bull trap here is not high. On the hourly level, there is still an upward oscillating trend. If we can stabilize above 2200 tonight, the bulls will have a long continuation afterward.
Ethereum: Long at 2174, Target 2254. Stop loss 40 points#ETH #BTC

CPI公布，目前來看數據是符合預期，通脹增長壓力短期有所放緩，但是關鍵數據依舊存在粘性，後續能源通脹風險還未展現！
目前地緣衝突的影響依舊存在，原油價格持續處於高位，如果短期中東無法停火原油繼續保持高位更久，市場對於3月與4月的通脹擔憂可能會持續放大，通脹擔憂嚴重利空長債，壓制風險市場情緒

以太目前臨近2000關口，短期來看這個區間有一定支撐力度，昨夜分享2064🈳目前44點區間，這裡先行做一波減倉再繼續上看目標！防守移動版本即可！

今晚公布CPI 數據，這也是市場短期最重要的觀察點之一。目前克利夫蘭聯儲和市場預期 2月 名義 CPI 是 2.4% 和前值是相同的，月率是 0.3% ，高於前值的 0.2% ，核心 CPI 年率是 2.5%，月率是 0.2% 略低於前值。但需要注意的是，這次公布的是 2月 數據，和這次的戰爭沒有關係，因此即便數據不算高，也不能簡單理解成通脹壓力已經完全解除。最近油價和汽油價格的抬升，更可能反映在接下來的通脹數據中。
這也意味著如果今天的 CPI 高於預期，市場會更容易擔心通脹重新變得頑固，美聯儲後續轉向寬鬆的預期會進一步被降低，風險市場的壓力自然會更大。但即便 CPI 低於預期，帶來的也更像是短期情緒緩和，而不是宏觀風險已經解除。真正決定後續風險資產能不能持續走強的，其實今天的 CPI 數據不是很重要，而是戰爭會不會繼續把石油維持在高位，並進一步傳導到未來幾個月的通脹數據裡。
對於市場來說最怕的從來都不是單純的戰爭新聞，而是戰爭把本來已經逐漸緩和的通脹重新拉起來。一旦油價持續站高，不論是美股還是加密貨幣，都會重新面對降息延後甚至流動性繼續偏緊的壓力。尤其是在市場本身就反覆博弈經濟放緩、利率路徑以及風險偏好的階段，能源價格的波動會進一步壓制資產估值。
這也是為什麼最近一段時間，很多風險資產雖然有反彈能力，但始終缺少那種可以持續向上的流動性支撐。戰爭帶來的影響並不是單一事件衝擊，而