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美聯儲即將召開會議，但中東戰爭引發的高油價與通脹使降息變得悬而未決。分析顯示，官員們可能面臨政策轉向的重大決策，市場對降息的預期降低，全球經濟滯脹風險加劇，投資者需謹慎應對即將到來的不確定性。

Recently, gold prices unexpectedly declined amid the backdrop of war, with JPMorgan Chase explaining that this is related to liquidity squeezes, forcing gold to be liquidated. While facing short-term pressure, in the long term, if inflation rises, gold prices will have room to appreciate, with prices expected to reach $6300 per ounce by the end of 2026.

The current crypto market appears calm, but undercurrents are stirring as the Federal Reserve's rate decision approaches. Bitcoin is holding firm at high levels, but may experience volatility following Powell's remarks. Institutional capital is quietly positioning itself during this time, with Coinbase whales continuously accumulating. Facing a complex macroeconomic environment, investors need to pay close attention to major capital flows and prepare for the market changes ahead.

比特币价格突破75,000美元，创今年新高，市场情绪回暖與機構購買推動強勁反彈。大額轉賬及主力資金流入顯示大戶進場，預計80,000美元為關鍵壓力位，投資者需關注市場指標與資金動向。

The conflict has persisted for 17 days, with the situation in Tehran complex and military strikes intensifying. Despite ceasefire predictions reaching 60%, with growing global calls for peace, the situation remains tense. Financial markets are sensitive to oil price fluctuations, with capital seeking opportunities in scarce resources. The conflict's impact on the global energy landscape and capital flows will be profound.

特朗普呼吁美聯儲降息，BitMNR購入6.0999萬枚ETH並展現強勁表現。私人信貸市場緊張，多家基金限制贖回。薩爾瓦多每日購買比特幣，持有近7600枚。此外，美參議員提案禁戰爭預測市場合約，巨鯨或準備賣出1.2萬枚ETH。

3月16日，布倫特原油突破106美元。這不是價格，這是全球安全架構的實時心電圖。
兩週前，當第一批水雷沉入霍爾木茲海峽時，市場還在爭論這是否只是又一次“短暫恐慌”。今天，三個事實已經無法回避：美國從太平洋調走了最後一支隨時可用的兩棲部隊、朝鮮向日本海傾瀉了十餘枚導彈、中國漁船在東海的編隊比上一次又向東移動了數十海里。
這不是能源危機。這是美國全球安全架構的承重牆拆除實驗。現在，讓我們追蹤裂縫的走向。
一、太平洋的真空與填塞者
● 3月14日，五角大樓靜悄悄地確認：駐紮沖繩的第31海軍陸戰隊遠征部隊——約2500名陸戰隊員，搭載“的黎波里”號兩棲攻擊艦——正在全速駛向中東。

Global financial markets have been disrupted by energy crises triggered by geopolitical conflicts, upending the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting expectations, with discussions around rate hikes resurging in the market. Contradictory non-farm employment and inflation data have reduced the likelihood of rate cuts, with possibly only one rate cut remaining for the year. To date, political concerns regarding the Federal Reserve's independence have intensified, impacting long-term bond yields, while a stronger US dollar has altered global capital flows. Investors need to leverage tools like AiCoin to gain insights into market dynamics in order to navigate uncertainty.

Recently, the crypto market has experienced intense volatility again, with Bitcoin price briefly breaking through $73,000, but subsequently pulling back, causing noticeable divergence in market sentiment. Analysts remain cautious about the future, warning of potential corrections, while institutions and whales are actively accumulating, with significant ETF inflows. Bitcoin's correlation with gold and US stocks has weakened somewhat, demonstrating its uniqueness as an asset. Investors should leverage professional tools to analyze the market, monitor whale movements and changes in funding rates, in order to formulate more effective investment strategies.