2月12日消息,2026年,Hedera(HBAR)正面临新一轮下行压力。受链上指标走弱与加密市场整体疲软影响,自1月初以来其价格持续回落。数据显示,HBAR 近期再跌约 5.66%,年内累计跌幅已超过 30%。作为市值排名前列的数字资产之一,其自去年7月高点以来的回撤幅度已接近 70%,长期趋势依旧承压。
链上基本面同样释放出谨慎信号。根据 DeFiLlama 数据,Hedera 网络的总锁定价值已从去年7月的 1.46 亿美元下降至约 5720 万美元,降幅显著。同时,网络内 dApp 的周度收入较去年10月中旬高点下滑近 70%。开发者活跃度和用户参与度的同步降温,削弱了生态对资金的吸引力,也对市场信心形成拖累。
机构层面亦缺乏支撑。美国现货 Hedera 相关基金的资金流入明显放缓,过去三周几乎无新增,仅在2月6日录得一次小规模流入。与仍保持较高关注度的 SOL、XRP 相关产品相比,HBAR 的机构需求显得偏弱。
从技术面看,HBAR 已跌破 0.10 美元的关键心理位,并持续受制于自去年10月形成的下降趋势线。超级趋势指标转为红色,MACD 位于零轴下方,动能偏空。若卖压延续,下一重要支撑位在 0.073 美元附近,较当前价格仍有约 20% 的下行空间。
在宏观不确定性与链上数据双重压力下,Hedera 短期走势仍以防守为主,市场正在等待新的基本面或资金催化因素出现。
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