The odds are shifting. According to prediction market data, there's now a 41% probability that Bitcoin could slip to $80K before the year closes. That's a notable move from earlier sentiment—suggest traders are pricing in more volatility and downside risk in their models. Whether this reflects genuine conviction or just hedging against tail scenarios, it's worth watching. For those holding long positions, it's a reminder that the $80K level has become a key reference point for bear case scenarios in the current market environment.

Recently, the bulls have indeed been a bit sluggish, and today they took another dip. I'm telling everyone to do short-term longs on BTC; honestly, I'm a bit worried about getting criticized. But the problem is that sometimes technical indicators can't provide clear signals, and at such times, we have to rely on market sentiment to guide our actions. Looking at today's performance, if important data is released in the next few days and BTC weakens again, I personally suggest gradually building positions. From a technical perspective, around 83,000 is a good entry point for longs; for every 1,000-dollar drop, enter in three layers, with a stop loss set at 78,000. This retracement is a secondary bottom on the daily chart. According to historical patterns, there should still be room for a rebound, and pushing towards 94,000 or even 98,000 is possible. Whether to participate in this wave of the market depends on each individual's risk tolerance.

#大户持仓变化 ZEC this wave of momentum is very obvious—it shoots up and then gets hammered down. Once the key support is broken, there's more downside. The moving averages are aligned like a flag, completely controlled by the bears. The rebound looks promising but lacks strength, unable to rally. I think the resistance around 405 and 415 is still quite heavy; you can consider shorting near these levels. If you're lucky, see if 370 can hold first; if broken, then look towards 350. $ZEC $ETH $BTC's correlation needs close attention, don't be fooled by the rebound.