#预测市场平台 Seeing CZ talk about prediction markets and long-term opportunities, I was reminded that many friends have recently asked me the same question: "Are these new tracks opportunities? Should I go all in?"

Honestly, there is a phrase in CZ's view that is worth pondering—"True victory is achieved in long-term competition." Prediction markets are indeed hot, but their popularity often comes with risks. I see too many people attracted by short-term hot spots, ignoring a fundamental rule: in the early stages of any emerging track, uncertainty is very high.

Cryptocurrency markets are still in the early stages, that's true, and there is indeed room for growth. But "big space" and "I can make money" are two different things. The key question is whether your position size considers this risk. If prediction markets only make up 5% or 10% of your overall assets, exploring them is not a problem; but if you plan to bet your entire fortune, I have to be honest—that's contrary to a long-term mindset.

My recommended approach is: set aside some funds to understand new tracks, but never let it threaten your overall safety net. Every hot spot will pass, and true wealth comes from decisions that can withstand cycle tests. Patience in allocation, restraint in investment—this is the way to walk far.