# 美联储维持利率不变

Monday, the rebound theme continues to dominate!
The market experienced a sharp pullback in the early morning hours, with a 24-hour decline exceeding 3.5%, testing lows near 67,360, as the market entered a phase of cyclical adjustment.
From a technical perspective, the daily MACD has formed a death cross, with RSI at relatively low levels; the 4-hour level broke below moving average support, with Bollinger Bands opening downward, indicating a weak short-term trend.
Overall market sentiment is cautious, with limited buying interest from bulls, and short-term volatility has intensified. On-chain

3.23 Monday Morning Bitcoin Analysis
Bitcoin is currently in a phased downtrend with frequent large bearish candles. Bounce-back rallies show weak bullish momentum with short bodies, and buying support is insufficient.
Multiple tests of lower support with brief stabilization followed by continued declines; bearish pressure remains dominant
• Upper resistance zone: 69,000–70,000 nearby. If rallies face clear resistance here, consider layering in short positions tactically
• Lower support level: 67,000 nearby. If effectively broken through, it will open further downside space
Following consecuti

Market Rhythm | See Opportunities Clearly, Guard Your Capital
There are always opportunities in the market. The key isn't how skilled you are, but rather seeing the right direction, following the right rhythm, and maintaining solid risk control.
Recent market volatility has actually been quite clear. This is the time to calm down, review past trades, adjust your strategy, and avoid making hasty moves.
No exaggeration, no empty promises, and no gimmicks. Everything I share is based on real market action and actual rhythm. I'll always clearly explain the risks you should be aware of, so you know

$BTC
📅 April Federal Reserve Rate Decision Window: The "Undercurrents" in Consensus
​Currently, CME interest rate swap pricing shows a 87.6% probability of maintaining rates unchanged in April, which should be a foregone conclusion of "holding steady."
However, what truly warrants vigilance is that 12.4% rate hike expectation — this probability has doubled since early month, reflecting deep market anxiety about "secondary inflation."
​Core Logic Analysis:
​Hard landing inflation concerns: Recent strength in energy prices and service sector resilience have blurred the return path of PCE data,

Recently, this market is really hard to understand! Bitcoin is like a punching bag—whenever US stocks drop, it drops too; and gold, this "good old friend," is also disappointing. With gunfire blazing in the Middle East, instead of rising, it's plummeting—a complete free fall! 🤯
What's going on here?
1. Core Reason: The Fed "Hawking," Rate Cut Dreams Shattered
The reason gold has been hit so hard recently is fundamentally due to the Federal Reserve's "hawkish" rhetoric. Simply put, the Fed told everyone: inflation hasn't been brought down yet, so rate cuts? Forget about it, we'll have to wait

Reviewing yesterday's Bitcoin price action, affected by the US stock market decline and hawkish rhetoric, the price fell throughout the day after opening. It broke through the critical 70,000 level at midday, causing panic and dropping to a low of 68,796 for the day. Before closing, there was a slight rebound, which barely recovered above the 70,000 mark. We deployed short positions at multiple intervals during different waves yesterday, and subsequently took profits in batches, securing around 1,200 points safely.
Looking at the current price action first from the moving averages: the hourly

Market Analysis:
The current market is in the bottom-fishing stage following a thorough restructuring. Gold has fallen to as low as $4,500 amid intense competition between "interest rate suppression" and "geopolitical risks," while the crypto market is testing key support levels amid panic sentiment.
Macro News: #美联储维持利率不变 #Gate13周年全球庆典
1. The Federal Reserve's decision not to cut rates is the core reason for gold price pressure. Gold has fallen for seven consecutive trading days. After breaking below the key psychological support of $5,000, bullish confidence collapsed, with retail and i