GateUser-79b707e5

#比特币价格预测 Wait a minute, I saw a number and I’m a bit confused 🤔 Michael Saylor said that if MicroStrategy accumulates up to 5% of the total Bitcoin supply, the price could soar to $1 million? Is that true? It sounds a bit exaggerated...
But thinking carefully, the logic behind it seems to be that large institutional buying reduces circulating supply, with supply decreasing and demand remaining unchanged, so the price naturally goes up? This is the so-called "scarcity"! 😲
But I’m still a bit puzzled, how are the figures of 5% and 7% calculated? Can any expert explain this estimation method t

#加密货币监管框架 I recently saw news that Russia is planning to regulate cryptocurrency trading, and I find it quite interesting🤔 They allow retail investors to participate, but they must pass a knowledge test first. This made me think—are regulatory frameworks really a good thing or a bad thing?
At first, I was nervous and thought regulation meant banning everything. But now I realize it’s actually about protecting newcomers like me! The knowledge test means exchanges need to ensure we truly understand what we’re doing, not just blindly follow trends. The annual trading limit of 300,000 rubles (ab

#比特币价格走势 Recently, the news about Bitcoin has been a bit confusing😅 Some say it will rise to $97,000 in the short term, while others say the probability of a crash in Q1 is very low. It feels like everyone is just talking good news? But what confuses me the most is—how did James Wynn manage to close a short position and make $21,000, then immediately switch to a long position with 40x leverage?🤔 Isn't that operation extremely risky? It sounds like gambling...
However, Pompliano's words did put me at ease. He said that volatility has already been compressed, and the chance of a 70-80% crash

#预测市场 I just saw that Polymarket is planning to build their own L2 and migrate away from Polygon. What does that mean? 🤔 It seems to involve many concepts I haven't fully understood yet...
To put it simply, it seems like Polymarket feels that Polygon isn't powerful enough (it recently experienced downtime), so they've decided to build their own L2 to support their prediction market business. This makes me wonder—does this mean that once top-tier applications reach a certain stage, they need to control their own infrastructure to be more stable?
What confuses me the most is that they are also

#稳定币增长与监管 Recently discovered something interesting 🤔 Amplify ETFs has launched two new funds, one focused on stablecoin technology (STBQ), and the other on tokenized assets (TKNQ), both listed on the NYSE.
Honestly, when I first heard these terms, I was really confused—what exactly is a stablecoin, and what does tokenization mean? Later, I gradually understood that stablecoins are those with relatively stable prices, and tokenization is about digitizing real-world assets (like real estate, artworks) onto the blockchain.
The emergence of these two funds makes me feel that institutional inves

#比特币价格走势 After reading this analysis, I really feel a bit confused😅 Will Bitcoin underperform gold and US stocks in 2025? What the heck is going on? When I first got into crypto, I thought Bitcoin was the most powerful safe-haven asset...
Only after careful reading did I understand — it’s like this—AI is now frantically draining resources! Mining farms have all turned into AI computing centers, energy is being redistributed, and capital is extremely sensitive. Moreover, the recent strength of gold is due to geopolitical risks; it doesn’t need internet connectivity, and this "atomic-level cer

#衍生品市场合约 Recently, I’ve been learning about derivatives trading and was attracted by the Hyperliquid platform. But when I saw a bunch of doubts online, I started to panic😅. Systems with under-collateralization or hidden lending protocols—these terms just give me a headache. Today, I saw the official clarification and response, which helped me understand some things—turns out many accusations are just misunderstandings of technical details, like what “God Mode” actually is—just normal operation modes of smart contracts.
What reassures me most is their promise to gradually move towards decentr

#去中心化预测市场 I just saw the news in the community that Polymarket is building its own L2, and I’m a bit confused😅 I used to think that all applications had to rely on underlying layers like Polygon or Arbitrum. Now top-tier applications are actually starting to "go independent"?
Is this saying that when an application is powerful enough and has enough users, it can build its own infrastructure without middlemen? It feels a bit like the logic of moving from renting to owning a house🏠 So, does this mean Polygon might lose important clients...
And it seems that the competition in decentralized pr

#RWA市场 Recently, I keep seeing the term RWA appearing more and more frequently, so I couldn’t help but look it up and understand — it turns out to be tokenizing real-world assets (like gold and USD) on the blockchain🤔
Seeing DWF Labs has already completed physical gold transactions with 25 kilograms of gold bars, and plans to expand to silver and platinum, it feels like the RWA market is really heating up. Even more interesting is that major institutions like ETHZilla are adjusting their strategic focus to RWA tokenization business. Does this mean this field is really about to explode?
Velo’

#Polymarket预测市场 Recently studying prediction markets, I realized from Coinbase CEO's remarks how important the regulatory issues of platforms like Polymarket are🤔
I used to think prediction markets were just for casual play, but I found out they fall under the regulation of the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission). Brian Armstrong seems to be saying that prediction markets should be regulated by the CFTC, and if some states claim they are not under CFTC jurisdiction, it might actually limit US users' access to these useful tools.
This has been quite enlightening for a newcomer li

#稳定币生态发展 I've recently been completely captivated by the topic of stablecoins🤔 I used to think that stablecoins would directly overthrow the banking system, but after some in-depth analysis, I realized—maybe I overcomplicated things?
One particularly interesting concept is the idea of "sticky deposits." Banks hold onto our money not because checking accounts are so convenient, but because everything is tied together—salaries, mortgages, credit cards—all in one place. Transferring assets elsewhere would be costly and troublesome. Data shows that even with explosive growth in stablecoins, ther

#美联储利率政策 The news about the Federal Reserve Chair candidate has been flooding the headlines recently. Seeing that Haskett's probability of becoming the next Chair has risen to 61%, I am a bit confused🤔
I've always heard about "hawkish" and "dovish" policies, and only now am I starting to understand what they mean. A hawkish stance is more concerned with inflation and tends to favor maintaining high interest rates, right? Watching Harker say they want to keep rates stable until spring, this means the possibility of rate hikes in the short term is low, but they won't be rushing to cut rates ei

Prediction markets? Sounds impressive, but I only recently understood what they really are🤔 I just saw a research report from Kalshi, saying that their prediction accuracy is actually higher than that of Wall Street economists, with an average error in inflation forecasts being 40% lower. That's incredible! And during times of economic volatility, their advantage can soar up to 67%. It feels like a "collective intelligence" of a group of traders defeating professional analysts.
This suddenly made me wonder, isn't a prediction market just a way to gather everyone's judgments and reflect true e

#美联储政策与货币政策 I have been paying close attention to the Federal Reserve's movements recently and found that this week is actually a big highlight🔍 Trump is set to announce the Federal Reserve Chair candidate during Christmas, and currently Kevin Hasset has a 54% chance of leading. Do you think this will have a significant impact on the crypto world?
Honestly, when I first heard these names, I was completely confused. Later, I realized that the decisions made by the Federal Reserve Chair directly influence U.S. interest rate policies, and changes in interest rates can affect the entire crypto m

#比特币持仓与投资 I was recently shocked by this news—are long-term holders selling off on a large scale? 😅 After taking a closer look at the data, I finally understood what was happening—turns out that after the October crash, those early coin holders started taking profits, especially the big players with costs in the 60,000-70,000 USD range who are rushing to cash out.
For a newcomer like me, this feels both terrifying and a bit exciting. On one hand, watching large amounts of chips shift makes the market seem volatile; on the other hand, I heard that below 80,000 USD is an "empty zone," which mi

#美联储降息 Is the Federal Reserve about to print more money again? 😅 As someone who just learned to read candlestick charts, I’m a bit confused. I only just understood today what quantitative easing really means—simply put, it’s the central bank printing money to release liquidity.
Seeing Arthur Hayes say that this round of RMP is actually a new version of QE, and that Bitcoin might surge to $124,000, I got really excited! But... he also transferred so much ETH himself. Does this mean he’s selling? 🤔 It seems like the actions of experts are always full of mysteries.
But logically speaking, the

#RWA代币化业务 I just saw the news about the collaboration between Velo and WLFI, and I’m a bit confused but very interested 🤔 Will the USD1 stablecoin be integrated into the Velo ecosystem? Does this mean it will be more convenient for me to use stablecoins in the future?
I heard my friends mention RWA as "real-world asset on-chain," but honestly, I haven't fully understood how to use it. Does the introduction of USD1 mean there will be more regulated stablecoins available in the ecosystem? It seems like this could enhance security a bit 😊
I’d like to ask experienced folks, what do the terms li

What is a prediction market? Recently, many people have been talking about Space, saying it allows trading around real-world events like cryptocurrency, politics, and sports. It sounds really interesting!🤔
I just looked into it, and Space is the first prediction market on Solana to support 10x leverage. They are currently conducting an initial token sale for $SPACE. The most exciting part is—if your prediction is correct, the maximum return could be 1000 times?? Does this sound a bit like an amplified version of gambling, but not entirely?
Seeing some details, I understand more: the platform

#稳定币发展与应用 Just discovered that Tether is working on a new wallet feature, feeling a bit confused but also very excited😍 I heard they are integrating AI? What's the concept behind this, and how can AI help us newbies?
I just realized that USDT, this stablecoin, is still being upgraded and iterated. I used to think stablecoins were just stable, but I didn't expect they could be played with like this. The new wallet supports Bitcoin, USDT, USAT, and XAUT. It feels like there are more options, but also a bit overwhelming...
The most interesting part is that they are using QVAC, a decentralized A

#比特币市场动态 Recently, I've seen a bunch of analyses suggesting that Bitcoin might drop to $75,000 or even $65,000, which was a bit shocking 😅
But after looking into the data more carefully, I found an interesting point — experts are actually saying that the market hasn't truly entered panic mode yet! That is, although prices are falling, people's psychology remains relatively optimistic, thinking a rebound will come soon. This sounds a bit contradictory, but it seems to imply that the real bottom hasn't arrived yet?
Another piece of data that scared me is that Bitcoin has already fallen below