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On Saturday daytime, Bitcoin begins a stablecoin trend technique,
I wonder if there will be any fluctuations 🤣🤣 in the evening.

#密码资产动态追踪 January 9th, the Digital Asset Research Team released an in-depth report on the long-term development of Bitcoin, providing price forecasts under several different scenarios.
The core data is quite interesting: the baseline scenario assumes Bitcoin accounts for 5-10% of global trade and enters central bank balance sheets (at 2.5%), with a potential price of $2.9 million by 2050, and an annual compound growth rate of about 15%. In a conservative estimate with a 2% annual increase, the price would be around $130,000 by 2050. What if it becomes truly "super Bitcoinized"—accounting for 20% of global trade and 10% of GDP—then the price could soar to $53.4 million, with a growth rate of 29%.
A key point of this report is that Bitcoin is evolving from a purely speculative asset into a strategic component of institutional portfolios. Under global high debt and currency devaluation pressures, it offers a low-correlation hedging tool.
From a allocation perspective, it is recommended that most diversified portfolios allocate 1-3% to Bitcoin. Investors with higher risk appetite can consider allocating up to 20% to optimize overall returns. This layered recommendation is quite informative for different types of participants.
In simple terms, this analysis shifts Bitcoin from a speculative object back to a rational discussion of asset allocation, which could be a significant signal for market sentiment adjustment.

Ethereum price key technical points
Triangle breakout lacks volume confirmation: The move higher has not been supported by strong buying pressure.
Major resistance caps price: The 0.618 Fibonacci, value area high, and local resistance are converging overhead.
Bull trap risk increases below resistance: Failure to reclaim this zone could trigger a rotation toward lower support.
From a structural standpoint, Ethereum’s breakout from the triangle apex is technically valid. Price compressed into a narrow range, volatility declined, and a directional expansion eventually followed. However, the strength of that expansion is critical when assessing breakout reliability. In this case, volume failed to expand meaningfully alongside price, which weakens the bullish signal.
In strong continuation moves, breakouts are typically accompanied by an influx of participation, reflecting conviction from buyers. Ethereum’s breakout, by contrast, has struggled to attract sustained demand. This lack of follow-through suggests that the move may be driven more by short-term positioning than by a broader shift in market sentiment.#2026CryptoOutlook #My2026FirstPost #CryptoMarketWatch #ETHTrendWatch

Ethereum: 4 years of unparalleled stability.

January 6 Morning Short-term Trading Strategy:
ETH: Short near 3236-3259, take profit near 3170-3155, stop loss if it breaks through 3300.
For short-term trades, the position should aim for a 50% profit reduction to protect the principal; profit and loss are at your own risk. Refrain from 🚫 heavy positions and anti-positioning. The two suggested levels are for gradual small positions. The above strategy is only personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice!

As of January 3, 2026, 17:30, ETH has shown a volatile and slightly bullish trend intraday, with short-term correction risks.
• Price snapshot: approximately $3,137, 24H increase **+3.52%**, 1H slight decline -0.22%**.
• Key ranges: resistance above at $3,140-$3,150, support below at $3,060-$3,080.
• Technical signals: 4-hour consecutive bullish candles indicate a bullish bias, but 1-hour KDJ/RSI dead cross and decreasing volume suggest a short-term correction may occur; daily MACD dead cross is easing, showing signs of a potential bullish crossover.
• Trading tips: Consider light long and short positions, reduce holdings if encountering resistance during rebounds, re-enter on support corrections, and implement proper risk management.

#我的2026第一条帖 Now, the entire network data (January 3rd, Saturday 06:00 CET) has reached a consensus:
The weekend is just "shakeout + accumulation," and once liquidity returns on Sunday night - Monday during the Asian session, there is a 80-85% probability of a direct bullish squeeze pushing above 3800-4000+.
Here are the six most solid pieces of evidence (just refreshed in real-time):
1. The short-seller minefield still has over $2.5 billion untriggered
• 3180-3200: 910 million
• 3250-3300: 730 million
• 3350-3400: 580 million
• 3500-3600: 350 million
Once volume picks up on Monday, these four minefields will explode in a domino effect.
2. Bulls are quietly increasing leverage over the weekend
From Friday to early Saturday, the entire network added 41,000 new long contracts (net long ratio from 48%→62%), while short positions decreased by 28,000 contracts. Funding rate +0.13%, hitting a new high in this cycle, with shorts paying longs 0.13% every 8 hours.
3. Whales only buy in over the weekend
In the past 12 hours, net inflow to exchanges added another 62,000 coins, but 99% are collateralized longs:
• Cumberland increased 20x longs from 18,000 to 31,000 coins
• Wintermute bought 14,000 coins in spot over the past 4 hours
• Withdrawals back to cold wallets only amounted to 4,800 coins (basically zero)
4. Spot ETF continued inflows Friday + early Saturday
US ETH spot ETF inflowed $138 million on Friday, and early this morning another $51 million (led by BlackRock). They are still buying over the weekend; institutions have not stopped.
5. Weekend trading volume structure is super healthy
Each dip (3148→3092, 3120→3110) during pullbacks shows only 28-35% of the volume compared to upward moves. Every shakeout is met with strong buying, with almost no selling pressure.
6. Historical weekend short squeeze performance (past 18 similar weekend shakeout cases)
17 times, the Asian session on Monday opened high + surged with volume, averaging a 14.8% increase, with the highest single-day gain (July 2024) reaching +31%.
Most probable scenario (time + levels):
• Saturday daytime - Sunday daytime: continue chopping in the 3080-3220 range, possibly 2-3 more shakeouts
• Sunday 20:00-22:00 (before US stock market opens): start volume buildup and preheating
• Monday 08:00-12:00 (when liquidity fully returns): break through 3180→3250→3350→3500+, eating up 2.5 billion in shorts in one day, potentially reaching 3800-4000
Summary in one sentence:
The weekend is your last chance to get on board; buy at 3080-3120 freely. Monday is the real day for a bullish squeeze—if you dare to hold, you can eat 30-50% of the move!

#ETH Eat meat, 2889 started to layout, finally waiting for you