Barclays: The Federal Reserve's next rate cut is expected in March

GateUser-6433627c · 2026-01-02T07:48:58+00:00

1 月 2 日，巴克莱维持其对美联储 2026 年降息预期。该行美国经济学家在报告中表示，美联储预计将在 2026 年降息两次，每次 25 个基点，分别在 3 月和 6 月。他们认为，相较于这一基准情景，延迟降息的风险更大。美联储 12 月政策会议纪要透露的信息与巴克莱的预期一致，即 1 月会议可能将按兵不动，经济学家指出，「因为联邦公开市场委员会需要时间评估近期降息的影响」。(金十)

GateUser-6433627c

2026-01-02 07:48:58

On January 2nd, Barclays maintained its expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in 2026. The bank’s U.S. economists stated in the report that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates twice in 2026, by 25 basis points each time, in March and June. They believe that the risk of delaying the rate cut is greater than this baseline scenario. The information revealed in the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes is consistent with Barclays’ expectations, indicating that the January meeting may hold steady, as economists pointed out, “because the Federal Open Market Committee needs time to assess the impact of recent rate cuts.” (Jin10)

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