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As the US-Iran conflict continues, Cathie Wood can no longer hold out?
On March 26, ARK Invest sold approximately $84 million worth of assets in a single day, including Meta, Nvidia, and ARKB (ARK's own managed Bitcoin spot ETF).
Cathie Wood is a strong long-term bull on BTC, but even she is reducing her holdings in her own BTC ETF, indicating that she believes short-term risk management is more important than holding positions.
BTC1.41%
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MasterChuTheOldDemonMasterChuvip:
Volatility is an opportunity 📊
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The Potential Impact of US-Iran Tensions on Bitcoin
From the market reactions since the full-scale outbreak of the conflict in late February, Bitcoin has shown more of the characteristics of a high-risk asset rather than a traditional "safe haven gold" during geopolitical crises.
Considering the current macro environment and market structure, the development of US-Iran tensions may influence BTC through the following key pathways:
1. Macro Liquidity Transmission: Oil Prices, Inflation, and Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
This is the most profound and fundamental impact of geopolitical conflict
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Technical Analysis
1. Daily Timeframe (Medium-term)
Convergence oscillation within a medium-term downtrend channel, with bulls and bears deadlocked between 69,000–71,000 USD.
Key Resistance: 71,000–72,000 USD (dense trapped buyers zone from previous highs).
Key Support: 68,000–69,000 USD (short-term bulls' lifeline); strong support at 65,000 USD.
Moving Averages: MA7 flat providing support; MA14 (71k) forming resistance; long-term moving averages trending down, medium-term bearish pattern intact.
Volume: Rebounds on decreasing volume, pullbacks on modest increasing volume; insufficient buying
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# BTC Short-Term Rally at a Critical Juncture
Bitcoin has reached another pivotal trading point—a position that could go either way.
But why am I leaning toward consolidating here and continuing upward to liquidate short positions?
Because ①the center of gravity of the K-line is continuously moving upward, and ②the downward momentum from 739 was too weak. Therefore, it's more appropriate to view the pullback to 70k and the subsequent rally to current levels as a continuation of the uptrend that started from 656.
**The most critical level for BTC right now is 74,000**
If the 74k level is gradua
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