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The Fed's interest rate cut injects new liquidity into the global market, ushering in a moment of both opportunities and challenges for the crypto world. This rate cut stems from the continued weakness in the job market, particularly the rise in low-wage industries while manufacturing is experiencing layoffs, reflecting insufficient endogenous economic momentum, with the policy focus shifting from controlling inflation to stabilizing growth.
Lowering interest rates usually reduces the financing cost of the dollar, pushing funds to seek high-yield assets, and Bitcoin may be favored due to its dual attributes. Historical data shows that Bitcoin often performs well during interest rate cut cycles, but this time it is a "slow liquidity injection," and the price base is already high, making the probability of a short-term surge relatively low.
In the short term, we need to be alert to the possibility of "good news being realized and then a pullback," and focus on the performance of key support levels. In the medium to long term, we can gradually allocate mainstream coins and quality altcoins along with the trend, but strict stop-losses must be set, and we should closely monitor changes in data such as non-farm payrolls and CPI—if inflation rebounds or employment rises, it may change expectations for monetary policy.
It is recommended that retail investors establish a reasonable position management mechanism: 30% in positions to capture trends, 50% in cash to respond to fluctuations, and 20% reserved for extreme risks. Participate in the market rationally and avoid blindly chasing highs.
#美联储降息 Bitcoin #加密货币 Liquidity #macroeconomic policy