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Friday early morning Bitcoin Ethereum market analysis and trading suggestions
No matter how the market evolves, trying to capture every fluctuation is unrealistic. We should only grasp the market conditions that we can understand.
—The market is like tides, with its rise and fall having its own internal logic and signals; the key is to patiently wait for opportunities that fit your own trading system. Recently, due to the ongoing geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market has significantly intensified. Looking back at the entire day of Thursday, the market experienced two rounds of deep pullbacks, with Bitcoin dipping to a low of 107,636 and reaching a daily high of around 111,960; Ethereum's performance was basically synchronized, peaking at 4089 and retracing to around 3855.
From the current market structure, Bitcoin's daily chart has formed three consecutive bearish candles and has effectively broken below the middle support line, creating a secondary bearish acceleration pattern, with an overall trend showing a clear bearish layout, and the bullish resistance has weakened. However, the short-term trend has shifted from a one-sided weak decline to a repeatedly oscillating downward mode, characterized by a rhythm of "one step back, one step rebound," with intense battles between bulls and bears.
The 4-hour level shows characteristics of a downward oscillation, with frequent alternation of bullish and bearish candlesticks. Structurally, the middle track still serves as the short-term boundary for strength and weakness. Below this position, we continue to maintain a view of oscillation retracement. The current overall trend still belongs to a bearish oscillation in the small cycle level. In terms of operations, it is recommended to maintain a primarily bearish mindset, waiting for the market to stabilize after a retracement before choosing to layout short positions flexibly. Be bearish but do not blindly chase the market down; grasp the rhythm rationally.
Operation Suggestions:
Short positions near Bitcoin 108300-108800, target 106000.
Short lightly in the Ethereum range of 3920-3950, target 3800.
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