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Today, let’s take a look at the correlation between Bitcoin and the Russell 2000. 👀
🇺🇸 The Russell 2000 ( $RUT) is a U.S. stock index that tracks 2,000 small-cap companies and often serves as a barometer for the health of the American small-business sector.
If we draw a parallel with the crypto market:
🥇 Bitcoin = the S&P 500,
🥈 Large caps (CMC Top 50) = the Nasdaq-100,
🥉 and the Russell 2000 = #altcoins.
🤨 Now here’s what’s interesting: the Russell 2000 has just broken above its previous 2021 high and is pushing into new territory. This likely signals that capital has started rotating into small caps after $SPX and $NDAQ hit their peak levels (both have formed reversal patterns with lower highs and lower lows) - essentially, it’s “#altseason” for equities.
💸 Retail investors typically pile into small caps when they feel confident about the economy, are willing to take on more risk, and see upside potential supported by abundant liquidity.
📊 Since #Bitcoin can also be classified as a high-beta asset, the long-term view becomes even more intriguing. Looking back over the past decade, $BTC has never entered a major downtrend after the Russell 2000 entered price discovery. Historically, this bullish phase lasted around 370-400 days.
I’m not calling for new all-time highs from #BTC just yet, but this setup may at least prevent the kind of sharp post-peak declines we’ve seen in previous cycles - and potentially give other coins a chance to show some strength in the process. 🤞