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Bitcoin might touch these lows—here's what the data suggests. Analyzing past market cycles and pullback patterns, the key support zone likely sits between $31K and $39K. These levels emerge from Fibonacci retracements of previous bull runs, combined with historical drawdown percentages. The timing matters too: October 2026 stands out as a potential capitulation window based on halving cycle patterns. Whether we hit that floor depends on macro conditions and on-chain metrics, but understanding these technical anchors helps frame realistic scenarios instead of guessing blindly.