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#数字资产市场洞察 The recent market has been very volatile, and many people are a bit confused. Let me organize my thoughts. Actually, if you look closely, every turn in the market has a reason behind it.
A few days ago, there was a big surge, as US inflation data unexpectedly improved, and we responded immediately. Then came a sharp decline, as the pressure for rate hikes in Japan emerged. We had warned about this risk in advance. Now, the market is rebounding because the rate hike in Japan has finally been confirmed. After digesting the bad news, the market can breathe again. To put it simply, the market isn’t moving randomly; behind it are rounds of news battles and emotional shifts. The key is whether you can keep up with the rhythm.
How to play now? Ethereum is under pressure around 3000. We’ve shorted three times at this level and made profits each time. But repeatedly hitting the same level weakens its power. If we try again the fourth time, we must reduce our position size.
Personally, I prefer to place short positions in higher, more stable resistance zones, around 3150 to 3200. Looking lower, around 2800 is a real support level. When it rebounds, I’ll set up long positions there. Trading near clear support and resistance levels greatly increases the success rate.
Let’s talk about ZEC. I’ve been tracking it, and it’s now bouncing up to around 415. I want to see if it can push to the 450-470 range. If it does, I’ll re-establish medium- to long-term short positions with low leverage, just holding and waiting. We’ve been pretty good at catching the rhythm with this coin. Most of our previous shorts were profitable, giving us confidence and a stable mindset.
What is the core of trading? It’s not prediction, but maintaining the risk-reward ratio. Every decision must be supported by logic, not feelings, but data. High win-rate operations, accumulated over time, lead to big profits. There are still opportunities in the market—don’t let volatility scare you. Understand the structure, find the right positions, and move forward step by step.