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The confluence of three macro forces is reshaping how investors size up 2026. Corporate earnings momentum remains robust, underpinned by heavy spending on AI infrastructure and capabilities—a trend that shows no signs of abating. Meanwhile, expectations around Federal Reserve rate cuts are beginning to crystallize, potentially reshaping the cost of capital across asset classes.
This intersection matters. When traditional equity markets rally on earnings strength and monetary easing, it typically signals broader risk appetite. For anyone tracking market cycles and considering how different asset classes correlate, these factors deserve close monitoring. The interplay between capex cycles, profitability, and central bank policy has historically influenced where capital flows, including into alternative assets.
The question isn't just whether stocks move higher—it's whether the underlying conditions that drive markets will sustain through the year ahead.