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Brent Crude Oil Futures Complete Guide: From Market Status to Trading Practice
The Twin Giants of the Crude Oil Market: Why Brent Is Under the Spotlight
As one of the most liquid commodities globally, crude oil has long transcended its role as a mere energy source, becoming one of the most traded assets in financial markets. From refining companies to national strategic reserves, from hedge funds to retail investors, almost all participants trade crude oil through futures contracts rather than direct spot purchases.
In the world of crude oil futures, Brent Crude Oil Futures and New York Light Sweet Crude Futures are the two major trading hubs worldwide. Brent Crude Oil (Brent Crude) originates from North Sea oil fields, classified as light, low-sulfur crude. Due to its low refining costs and high economic value, it has become the benchmark for oil prices in Europe, Africa, and the Middle East.
Understanding the Core Characteristics of Brent Crude Oil
Key indicators of Brent Crude Oil:
The emergence of Brent crude futures was driven by a real market need. Since crude oil impacts the costs of industries like plastics and adhesives, its price volatility poses a significant threat to global price stability. Futures mechanisms arose to allow market participants to forecast future price trends, hedge risks, and enable investors to seek profits through price predictions.
Through financialization via futures, the pricing power of crude oil has been dispersed from a few oil companies, allowing all market participants to participate in the price discovery process. This transparent mechanism ensures that oil prices ultimately tend toward a market-recognized equilibrium, avoiding a scenario like diamonds being controlled by a few.
Trading Channels and Contract Specifications for Brent Crude Futures
Taiwanese investors can trade Brent crude futures through two main channels: one on the Taiwan Futures Exchange using TWD, and the other on international exchanges (such as ICE) participating in global standard contracts.
Comparison of Major Contract Specifications:
Note: Since crude oil prices are quoted in USD, Taiwanese traders should also be aware of exchange rate risks when trading the Taiwan version of futures.
Alternatives for Limited Capital: Mini Futures
Considering that the standard Brent crude futures require an initial margin of at least TWD 60,000)about USD 1,850(, which can be a barrier for small investors, exchanges also offer smaller contract sizes—mini futures. For example, the ICE SG) mini Brent crude futures with code BM:
Mini Brent Crude Futures Specifications:
This mini contract significantly lowers the entry barrier, enabling more investors to participate in the crude oil market.
Historical Price Trends and Driving Factors of Oil Prices
To understand today’s crude oil market, it’s essential to review its historical evolution. Since the Industrial Revolution, crude oil has been a strategic resource for nations. Post-WWII, the US mandated that oil be priced and traded in USD.
Key Price Milestones:
Early Stability of Brent Futures: Under the gold standard, oil prices remained stable at $2–$3 per barrel for decades.
Price Revolution During OPEC Era (1973–1985): With rising Middle Eastern nationalism and the formation of OPEC to counter the Seven Sisters oil companies, oil pricing power shifted to producing countries. Prices surged to around $30 per barrel in 1985, after which oil prices became more supply-driven rather than purely demand-based.
Supply Volatility Post-1986: In 1986, Arab countries lifted production limits, leading to unlimited extraction and a sharp drop in prices to around $10. Subsequently, Brent futures fluctuated mostly between $10–$30.
Geopolitical Peaks (2000–2008): After 9/11, many countries increased strategic reserves, and reduced Middle Eastern production, pushing prices to a historic high of $147 per barrel in 2008.
Shale Oil Revolution and Supply Surge (2008–2015): High prices spurred technological advances in shale oil extraction, leading to a supply glut and a sharp decline in prices. The US’s 2015 legislation allowing crude exports helped stabilize the market somewhat.
Pandemic Impact and Geopolitical Tensions (2020–2022): COVID-19 severely reduced demand, causing prices to plummet. In 2021, US efforts to curb shale oil production and the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict caused Brent futures to rise about 21% for the year.
2024 Adjustment Period: Due to supply-demand pressures, OPEC+ output adjustments, and Middle Eastern geopolitical factors, prices declined about 3% for the year, ending at $74.6.
Structural Factors Influencing Oil Prices
Historically, the deep drivers of Brent futures price fluctuations include: spot market supply and demand, inventory levels, geopolitical events, and financial market sentiment.
Investors should closely monitor:
In the short term, geopolitical events and OPEC+ decisions dominate price movements; long-term trends depend on the global supply-demand balance. Escalating risks can cause rapid surges, but shale oil expansion and renewable energy development may cap gains.
Market Outlook and Performance of Brent Futures in 2025
Brent futures in 2025 are expected to be highly volatile. Early in the year, due to global economic weakness and demand slowdown, prices declined, briefly falling below $63 per barrel in April, hitting a two-year low.
From May onward, prices stabilized in the $64–$66 range. In mid-June, geopolitical tensions (Israel’s airstrikes on Iran) caused a short-term surge of over 10%, breaking $73. As concerns over Middle Eastern escalation eased and Iran did not implement the Strait of Hormuz blockade, prices quickly retreated to $67–$69.
Looking into the second half of the year, if geopolitical tensions ease, OPEC+ signals increased production, and demand weakens, the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts Brent could further decline, with year-end averages around $61. Overall, the first half of 2025 will be dominated by geopolitical risks, but fundamentals remain under pressure, leading to a volatile and generally weak price trend.
Key Risks to Watch When Trading Brent Futures
Brent futures are highly leveraged and thus carry significant risks. For example, a standard contract of 1,000 barrels with a USD 0.01 per barrel move results in a profit or loss of USD 10; a USD 1 move results in USD 1,000.
With only 10% initial margin, at an oil price of USD 85, a 1% price change could mean a profit or loss of USD 850—10% of the initial margin. If account assets fall below the maintenance margin (usually 5–7% of initial margin), margin calls or forced liquidation may occur.
Risk Management Tips:
CFD Trading: An Alternative Way to Participate in Brent Oil Futures
If the USD 620–700 initial margin for mini futures still feels high, or if you prefer more flexible leverage, consider trading via Contracts for Difference (CFD).
Trading Brent crude futures (e.g., UKOIL) on CFD platforms allows leverage up to 100x, with a minimum investment of just USD 20 to trade 0.01 lots (equivalent to 10 barrels). To reduce leverage, the same 0.01 lot can be traded with USD 600.
Advantages of CFDs over futures include: no expiry date, long and short flexibility, adjustable leverage, and no commission fees, making them a more flexible asset allocation tool for small investors.
Overview of Crude Oil Futures Tools
Investors can choose among various crude oil futures based on capital and risk appetite:
Summary: Core Points for Investing in Brent Crude Futures
As the most representative tool for global crude oil investment, Brent futures combine high liquidity with market pricing functions. Key to successful participation include:
For investors with limited capital, mini contracts and CFDs offer more accessible entry points, enabling broader participation in the crude oil market. Regardless of the tools chosen, discipline and patience are fundamental for long-term profitability.