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#加密行情预测 #Crypto Market Forecast
The current widespread bearish sentiment in the crypto market reminds me of the historical pattern of multiple "consensus bearishness followed by a reversal." However, this time I won't rush to bottom fish; instead, I choose a strategy of "gradual deployment + observation and validation." From a time cycle perspective, the adjustment phase only began in early November, and based on past patterns, it should last at least 1-2 months. So far, the market has not shown clear signs of a bottoming, such as increased trading volume or mainstream coins stabilizing at key support levels. However, excessive pessimism is also not advisable. Recently, I divided my positions into three parts: one kept as cash waiting for genuine bottom signals, another allocated small amounts of spot holdings in high-quality coins with ecological support like ETH and SOL, and the last part tested bottom-fishing points using Gate's simulated trading platform. In a bear market, the most taboo is "guessing the bottom" and "full position." Instead of betting on short-term rebounds, it's better to patiently wait for the market to give clear directions. After all, market reversals in crypto are never instant; they require dual confirmation of capital and sentiment.