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#预测市场 Prediction markets are really magical! 🤯 I just saw that the probability of Wosh becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair skyrocketed from 7% to 52%, while Hasset dropped from a high of 85% to 39%. This wave of reversal is so exciting...
I’d like to ask everyone, since the data in prediction markets changes so quickly, does it mean that market expectations for policies are also undergoing intense adjustments? Will this directly affect the crypto market? The Fed Chair candidate seems to be linked to the crypto circle—can someone give me a quick explanation? 🙏
I used to think prediction markets were just gambling, but now I realize they seem to be a pretty valuable information window. Are these drastic changes in the probability of major events due to new information being disclosed or just market sentiment fluctuations? I want to learn how to better interpret these data, as I feel it’s especially important for understanding crypto market trends!