2026-01-01 15:26:33

The first trading day of the new year, the Sui network completed on-chain automatic unlocking (precisely executed at 8:00 AM Beijing time). This unlock was not small in scale, yet the market reaction was unexpectedly calm—prices only dipped slightly by less than 2%.

However, looking at historical trends, every SUI unlock hides certain secrets. The unlock in September 2024 saw a short-term drop of -20% within just a few days, with selling pressure being quite fierce. Conversely, in May 2025, another large-scale unlock actually stimulated ecosystem demand, and the coin price once rebounded over 100%—completely two different scenarios.

The key factors determining this trend are actually two: market sentiment and the staking participation rate. A high staking rate can effectively lock in chips and absorb unlock shocks; otherwise, it can easily trigger panic selling. Currently in a wait-and-see stage, the performance in the next few hours is worth watching—whether it’s a trap of an opening rally or a good entry point for low buying?

SUI6.53%

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BugBountyHunter

· 10h ago

Only down 2%? The staking participation is pretty good; I've held onto quite a few chips.

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WagmiOrRekt

· 12h ago

Hmm... This time the unlock didn't cause a dump but stabilized the price. The staking rate should be pretty good. Only a 2% dip? Feels like someone is quietly accumulating. That -20% in September really woke me up. I'll be more cautious this time. The key is whether it can rebound in the next few hours; otherwise, it might be a sharp decline before numbness. If the chip lock-in rate is high, there shouldn't be a big problem... right? The ideal entry point for buying the dip hasn't arrived yet. Let's wait and see the market sentiment.

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ShibaSunglasses

· 12h ago

Only a 2% dip? This is called market calm? I think it's just big players waiting to dump more later. Since staking rate is so important, why hasn't the data been announced in advance... Feels like we're about to get cut again. I remember the -20% in September; if this time it really rebounds 100%, I'll celebrate by eating eggs. Let's wait and see. Anyway, I don't hold much SUI in my hands, can't afford to gamble.

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orphaned_block

· 12h ago

Only down 2%? This staking rate is pretty good this time. Last September, it was a different story with a direct bloodbath.

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ReverseFOMOguy

· 13h ago

Only a 2% drop? That's called calm. I think this is just the calm before the storm. --- In September, it dropped 20%, and in May, it rebounded 100%. SUI's temperament is really unpredictable; it feels like it's just waiting to see who makes the first move. --- The staking rate is the real ticking time bomb; if it drops too low, it will explode. --- Speaking of which, if this unlock can truly rebound, I believe market sentiment has really changed. --- Don't be fooled by the good start; history tells me to wait and see. --- A few hours? No, we should look at the trading volume over the next week. --- I bet that behind this sluggish reaction, everyone is just waiting to see the next move; no one dares to really step in.

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SerRugResistant

· 13h ago

Huh, why is this unlock so calm this time? Something feels off. A 2% drop? I bet 5 SOL this is just the calm before the storm. Is staking rate really that important? It seems like no one cared in the previous times. If I want to buy the dip, I need to wait a few more hours. Entering now might really be catching a falling knife. I just want to know if this will repeat the big crash in September.

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UnluckyLemur

· 13h ago

That September's -20%—I'm still here. Now I'm even more calm; I've seen blood, so I'm not afraid.

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ZkProofPudding

· 13h ago

It's both unlocking and dumping again, really damn annoying. Wait, this time only down 2%? Feels a bit off. In September, it dropped directly by -20%, and now it's so calm... Could staking be saving the day? Anyway, I don't believe in the trap or the "buy-in point" theory, let's see how it performs in the next few hours. Honestly, unlocking in the crypto world is like Schrödinger's dump.

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