Employment data remains weak, and the market is beginning to bet on the Federal Reserve implementing more aggressive rate cuts. If the Fed indeed cuts interest rates by 125 basis points to the 2.25% level as expected, what will this policy shift bring?



From a market perspective, a rate cut cycle often releases a large amount of liquidity. Lower borrowing costs mean funds seek higher-yielding channels — this provides clear support for stocks, bonds, and even cryptocurrencies. Although the shrinking employment market itself reflects economic pressure signals, expectations of easing policies are enough to reverse market sentiment in the short term.

In other words, the Fed's rate cut signals may drive risk assets higher more than the pessimistic significance of the employment data itself. In a liquidity-rich environment, markets tend to bet on economic recovery expectations rather than overly worry about current employment difficulties. For traders tracking policy signals, this potential 125 basis point cut is undoubtedly a noteworthy turning point.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 9
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
ETH_Maxi_Taxivip
· 13h ago
Wait, 125 basis points dropped all at once? Is it that fierce... Once liquidity loosens, funds will definitely rush into risk assets. Crypto is definitely in high demand. Hawkish to dovish, even bad employment data can't bother the market. Anyway, printing money is the main thing. Cutting interest rates = printing money. I know this logic well; the crypto world has been waiting for this moment. Is bad employment actually a positive? The market is really quite magical... But on the other hand, it's true that easing cycles tend to lead to rises. When will the 125bp be implemented? If I wait any longer, I'll be exhausted.
View OriginalReply0
StableNomadvip
· 14h ago
ngl, 125bps sounds nice on paper but statistically speaking we've seen this movie before... reminds me of UST in May when everyone thought the printer goes brrr forever lmao. risk-adjusted returns on that trade didn't age well, not financial advice but smart money's already positioning for the rug pull after the pump.
Reply0
fren.ethvip
· 01-05 18:16
Liquidity is here, so buy buy buy, no matter how the employment data looks. As soon as the rate cut expectation emerges, the coins will rise. --- 125 basis points? Hmm... this time it’s really happening, feels like a new bull market cycle is about to begin. --- Don’t worry about poor employment data. When the Fed loosens, everything looks good. Capital always finds a place to go, and our crypto circle is the best at this. --- Basically, bad news is actually good news? I just can’t understand this logic anymore haha. --- Rate cut = printing money = liquidity flooding = crypto assets taking off. This routine has been played out a few times already. Are you all ready?
View OriginalReply0
MetaMaskedvip
· 01-05 06:43
125 basis points? Oh my, with liquidity loosening like this, the crypto market should be taking off. During a rate cut cycle, everyone rushes to risk assets, and crypto should be getting some of that benefit too. Poor employment figures, but as long as there's plenty of money, people will dare to gamble—that's just how the market is. Policy measures are the real super positive signals, much more effective than fundamental data... If the Federal Reserve's move actually materializes, stablecoin lending rates will have to fall, that would be so great. Wait, are they really going to be this aggressive? It feels a bit uncertain. Once the rate cut expectation emerges, funds start looking for the next altcoin... another cycle of harvesting retail investors begins. Liquidity is coming, on-chain activity will definitely surge, this is a great opportunity.
View OriginalReply0
AlgoAlchemistvip
· 01-05 02:50
125 basis points? I’ll go all-in on Bitcoin directly, anyway liquidity will burst out into a frenzy once it arrives, who cares about employment --- Basically, it’s just currency devaluation. We holders are the real winners haha --- Wait, will it really drop 125? Feels like the market is just hyping itself up. When the dovish stance comes out, it might drop again --- When liquidity flows in, risk assets will definitely be chased. Crypto is bound to take off, I’ve already jumped on board --- Poor employment doesn’t matter. As long as the Federal Reserve keeps easing, there will be stories in the crypto world. I’m very familiar with this logic --- Stop it. Isn’t this just another round of the "crisis is an opportunity" routine? Be careful not to become the bag holder in the end --- Will the rate cut really come down to 2.25? Feels like the market has already priced in this expectation. The actual implementation might not be as optimistic --- Hash rate is about to surge again. Miners must be happy now. I’m optimistic about ETH’s upcoming performance --- Economic collapse, poor employment, then flooding the market with liquidity to rescue... We’ve played this script so many times --- The key still depends on actual implementation. Saying they will cut rates and actually doing it are completely two different things
View OriginalReply0
rekt_but_vibingvip
· 01-05 02:41
125 basis points? Hmm... Now liquidity is about to splash out. Should the crypto market get excited? --- Jobs are weak, but as soon as rate cut expectations emerge, money starts to run wild. Can we get a piece of the pie here? --- To be honest, no one cares about unemployment; everyone is betting on where the Fed's money will flow. --- Wait, a 125 basis point drop directly? This feels like preparing for something. --- Abundant liquidity = ready for a cut-and-ride environment. I just want to know who will be the bag-holder in this wave. --- Here we go again. Bad news is actually good news. I really can't believe it. --- The key still depends on whether they actually implement it. The Fed loves to renege.
View OriginalReply0
DegenDreamervip
· 01-05 02:38
125 basis points? Just print the money directly, anyway risk assets are going to rise and still need to rise, crypto will definitely take off. When liquidity arrives, buy the dip. No need to overthink it. So what if employment is weak? Powell is going to save the market anyway. Just want to ask, what is BTC hesitating for now? Shouldn't the rate cut cycle be pushing forward? Forget it, I won't look at employment data anymore, just watch the Fed's words. When they say easing, I go all in. This time is really different. The market has already priced in a rate cut. The question is the timing—who guesses right first will make the profit.
View OriginalReply0
ProxyCollectorvip
· 01-05 02:36
125 basis points? Are you joking? Cutting interest rates is just another way of printing money. In the end, we’ll still be the ones getting chopped. Just wait and see.
View OriginalReply0
ruggedNotShruggedvip
· 01-05 02:22
Well... a 125 basis point cut sounds great, but with such poor employment, can we really turn things around? Feels like they're just covering up the problem. Wait, abundant liquidity = crypto prices soaring? I know this logic too well; history is repeating itself as scheduled. 125 basis points... if it really drops, it depends on whether the Federal Reserve is pretending to be dead or truly panicked. Cutting rates = printing money, printing money = fighting inflation? Or just continuing to fleece the sheep... Forget it, what assets should I stockpile now? Looking for advice.
View OriginalReply0
View More
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)