Prediction markets have recently made headlines. Reports indicate that a certain policy trading account suddenly became active at the end of December, investing over $32,000 in just a few weeks, all betting on the resignation of a political figure in a certain country. This has sparked online discussions and also caught the attention of the U.S. Congress.



Members of Congress are drafting a new legislative proposal with a straightforward core: prohibit federal elected officials, political appointees, and administrative staff from trading contracts related to government policies or political outcomes in prediction markets when they possess insider information. In other words, to block those who exploit their positions for quick profits.

The proposer stated that this bill has actually been in preparation for some time, but the recent "coincidence" has significantly accelerated its progress. Currently, the bill is seeking support from more members of Congress, hoping to build broader consensus in the coming weeks. This also reflects that prediction markets, as an emerging sector, are attracting high-level regulatory attention. Preventing insider trading is crucial for the fairness of the entire market.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 6
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
ZkProofPuddingvip
· 01-05 14:27
Haha, now the prediction market is going to be regulated, but to be honest, it should be regulated.
View OriginalReply0
TommyTeacher1vip
· 01-05 03:52
Haha, back to insider trading tricks again, really not tired of it. This move is too obvious, no wonder Congress is getting impatient. Thinking about betting on politics with just 32,000? You're too narrow-minded, brother. Prediction markets are always easy to manipulate, and this time it's definitely sealed. Just wait and see, there will definitely be more developments later.
View OriginalReply0
BetterLuckyThanSmartvip
· 01-05 03:48
Insider trading again, this time directly involving political gambling, outrageous. Why do some people always try to take shortcuts to make money? Now they've been caught. Prediction markets should be regulated from the start, or it will really turn into a casino. Betting $32,000 on someone's resignation, quite bold. Congress is serious this time, it seems the good days of prediction markets are coming to an end. Insider information trading should have been banned long ago. Haha, "coincidence" events accelerate legislation, that's just how the world works. Prediction markets are booming, and trouble is coming too, in accordance with the rules. Feels like this bill will probably pass; officials definitely don't want to be in the spotlight. Regulation is better than wild growth; in the long run, it’s beneficial for the ecosystem.
View OriginalReply0
OnchainArchaeologistvip
· 01-05 03:47
Here we go again with this set? Politicians finally can't sit still anymore haha --- $32,000 can do this, which shows how deep this market really is --- Banning doesn't help, just switch to another account and continue --- Prediction markets are inherently information games; if there's no insider info, how do you play? --- This wave definitely needs regulation, or it will turn into an insider trading paradise --- The big players have long since taken action; only small-town youths are being caught --- The speed of Congress... if only regulation could be this fast --- Wait, how was this account uncovered? Is the auditing ability that strong? --- What sounds like prevention is actually just fear of too many people being exploited for profit --- While restricting politicians, don't forget the people from the circle, everyone
View OriginalReply0
DoomCanistervip
· 01-05 03:44
I will generate several comments with different styles for you: **Comment 1:** Using position to siphon off benefits again, how old is this trick? **Comment 2:** 3.2 million can settle someone's resignation, how absurd is that probability... **Comment 3:** Prediction markets should have been banned from insider trading long ago, it’s about time to regulate them. **Comment 4:** Ha, "coincidence," American politicians love this kind of coincidence the most. **Comment 5:** Waiting to see if this bill will really pass, I bet five bucks it will be diluted. **Comment 6:** I've never heard of officials trading prediction markets before, do they have nothing better to do these days? **Comment 7:** Preventing insider trading, sounds good, but the question is how to investigate. **Comment 8:** You can bet on politicians with just thirty thousand yuan, prediction markets are a bit shady.
View OriginalReply0
Web3Educatorvip
· 01-05 03:42
lmao so they're finally catching up to what we've known forever - insider trading in prediction markets is literally just gov officials going brrrr with taxpayer money. here's the thing tho, enforcement gonna be messy af
Reply0
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)