#2026年比特币行情展望 Zhao Jinyan: Geopolitical tensions intensify, commodity volatility window opens



To be honest, crude oil has been repeatedly testing lows recently, and market sentiment has been suppressed to the extreme. Once a black swan event occurs, the market often releases sharply—gap up, rapid rally, intense volatility—this combination is hard to avoid. Especially on a time node like Monday, the probability of short-term emotional trading being triggered is significantly higher.

What should we do? The idea is quite straightforward: follow the rhythm of the market sentiment, but never stubbornly fight it.

Specifically, if the market opens with an immediate upward push, it’s fine to chase along with the trend, but discipline is key—take profits once gains are in place and exit quickly; greed is a big taboo. When a pullback occurs, look for opportunities to re-enter. The goal is swing trading profits, not getting caught in the trend’s muddy waters.

Reference ideas:
Support below in the short term is around 57; you can go long following the trend.
Upper target in the short term is in the 60-62 range.

$BTC $ETH $SOL The same logic applies during periods of asset volatility—observe more, act less, wait for certainty before taking action.

(This content is for informational exchange only; please trade at your own risk.)
BTC-1.36%
ETH0.83%
SOL0.63%
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StablecoinAnxietyvip
· 01-05 04:20
Take profits when in profit, I agree with that. I'm just worried that a sudden move might cause me to miss out, and then watch it soar without being able to catch it—that's really frustrating. --- It's another wave trading mindset, but I just want to hold on for dear life. Is that right? --- Black swan events are so common now, can we still call them black swans? Haha. --- I need to keep an eye on the 57 line; I was caught here last time. --- Watching more and acting less can be annoying, but it’s indeed effective. I still have to endure. --- It's true that Monday is usually full of enthusiasm, but I always chase the high. How to break this cycle? --- Greed is a big taboo, and you've already written that down. Why are there still so many people caught in traps? --- The logic for BTC, ETH, and SOL is universal. I believe that, but execution is the hard part. --- Talking about quick in and out is easy, but the psychological battle is probably the hardest. --- I am optimistic about the 60-62 range, but only if the geopolitical situation truly heats up.
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MEVictimvip
· 01-05 04:18
Having heard this bottoming out routine so many times, are we going to repeat it again? Saying "fast in and out" sounds easy, but in practice, it's really not that simple.
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MEVHunterLuckyvip
· 01-05 04:17
After grinding the bottom for so long, I feel that it can explode at any time, and it is indeed easy to break the game on Monday
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LayerZeroEnjoyervip
· 01-05 04:13
It's the same old argument of "go with the flow of emotions but don't stubbornly insist," and it's making my ears calloused from hearing it haha
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POAPlectionistvip
· 01-05 04:11
After such a long bottoming process, there's finally some hope, but I'm just worried it might turn out to be a false alarm again.
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TokenUnlockervip
· 01-05 04:07
Black swan events can cause immediate takeoff. This wave is indeed easy to get trapped in; taking profits when in profit is still very important.
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