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Why Venezuela's Gold Matters More Than Its Oil
Source: Coindoo Original Title: Why Venezuela’s Gold Matters More Than Its Oil Original Link: Global markets remain fixated on Venezuela’s oil, but a far more immediate and powerful asset is being largely ignored – gold.
Venezuela holds 161 metric tons of gold in official reserves, the largest stockpile in Latin America, valued at around $22.5 billion at current prices. With gold prices climbing again, every $100 increase adds more than $500 million to the country’s balance sheet. Unlike oil production, this gold does not require years of investment or repairs. It already exists, is fully liquid, and can be deployed immediately.
Key Takeaways
Beyond what sits in vaults, Venezuela’s mineral potential is enormous. The Orinoco Mining Arc is believed to contain up to 10,000 tons of untapped gold. At elevated long-term price assumptions, that equates to well over $1 trillion still in the ground. The region also holds coltan and rare earth elements, key materials for smartphones, electric vehicles, and advanced electronics, with coltan alone estimated to be worth more than $100 billion.
Why Gold Matters More Than Oil Right Now
Oil dominates headlines, but rebuilding Venezuela’s oil industry is a slow and expensive process. Estimates suggest tens of billions of dollars are needed just to restore aging pipelines and infrastructure that have been neglected for decades. Gold, by contrast, does not depend on production cycles or infrastructure. It can be pledged, sold, or used as collateral immediately.
This makes gold uniquely valuable in a political transition. The moment a recognized transitional government takes control, Venezuela’s gold reserves could be used to secure loans, fund reconstruction, or restructure debt. In financial terms, that represents an instant balance sheet reset.
Another critical piece lies outside Venezuela. Around $1.8 billion worth of Venezuelan gold has been frozen at the Bank of England since 2018 due to legal disputes over political recognition. Any decisive change in leadership could rapidly remove those barriers, allowing the gold to be released and mobilized. Access to those assets could materially alter Venezuela’s financial position almost overnight.
A Perfect Backdrop: Gold’s Explosive Market Momentum
This geopolitical backdrop coincides with one of gold’s strongest market cycles in decades. Gold rose roughly 65% in 2025, its best annual performance since the late 1970s. Major institutions have pointed to long-term targets as high as $5,000 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risk, rising debt, and demand for hard collateral.
Venezuela is widely framed as an oil story, but financially it looks far more like a gold story hiding in plain sight. Oil production takes years to rebuild. Gold can be used immediately. As geopolitical risk premiums rise and investors brace for what many see as a defining shock of 2026, the real lever may not be energy at all.