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How can Meme coins in sideways consolidation be judged to have further surge potential? Many rely on guesswork and intuition, but data is actually more reliable.
First point: What are the top addresses doing? Use on-chain tools to monitor the movements of the top 20 addresses by holdings. If those high-probability smart money addresses keep their positions steady or even add more, this is a strong signal—they are optimistic about the upcoming momentum. Conversely, if large holders are gradually reducing their positions, the risk signal becomes very clear.
The second key is cost distribution. If the cost basis of the top holders is close to the current price, in a "consensus zone" of slight profit or slight loss, resistance to price increase is low. But if large holders are all holding at high levels, trying to exit, it’s easy for a dump to occur.
The third factor not to ignore is community enthusiasm. Check recent tweets and group discussions for sustained topics and meme atmosphere. A silent community cannot ignite a market rally. Only when the community is still active and memes are spreading can a consensus form to push the price higher.
In short, during sideways periods, it’s not about storytelling but about understanding on-chain data. Who is accumulating, who is reducing, and at what price levels—these are all visible on the chain and far more reliable than psychological expectations.