**Market Overview**



Gold has completely broken free from the repeated tug-of-war between 4300-4400 and has firmly stabilized above 4400. From a technical perspective, a standard bottom reversal pattern has been completed, and after oscillating up and down, bullish momentum is beginning to accumulate. The target of 4600 is gradually becoming achievable as conditions mature.

**Why is the rally so rapid?**

A sudden surge in risk aversion sentiment. The US airstrike on Venezuela and the arrest of its leader have directly stirred the market. Additionally, recent remarks by Trump regarding Greenland and Mexico have added to the turmoil. Meanwhile, weak US manufacturing data has compounded these factors, pushing gold prices higher and higher.

**Underlying Long-term Support**

Last year, gold rose by 66%, which is no coincidence. Geopolitical tensions combined with the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle have created a very strong bullish environment. Currently, the market is still hoping for further rate cuts, with central banks and gold ETFs continuing to increase their holdings, providing long-term support for gold prices.

**Technical Analysis**

Yesterday's large bullish candle closed above 4470, and both the Bollinger Bands and RSI on the daily and 4-hour charts confirm a bullish trend. There is still room for this upward momentum to continue.

**Trading Strategy**

Short-term bias is bullish, with a focus on buying on dips and reducing positions at higher levels. If gold can stabilize around 4460-4470 after a pullback, short-term targets can be set around 4520-4540.
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Anon32942vip
· 3h ago
The recent surge in gold prices is quite fierce, and it feels like the risk aversion sentiment has really exploded. Trump is firing shots every day, and the market is so scared that it's pouring into gold nonstop.
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APY追逐者vip
· 01-07 00:52
This wave of gold is really fierce. 4600 isn't far away, gotta hold on to the ETF in hand.
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Web3ExplorerLinvip
· 01-07 00:52
hypothesis: geopolitical chaos as an oracle network—when volatility spikes, it's basically the market's way of broadcasting uncertainty across all asset chains. gold's breakout from that 4300-4400 range? classic bridge mechanics, ngl.
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zkProofInThePuddingvip
· 01-07 00:50
Kaneko is taking off again, really unbelievable. As soon as Trump speaks, the market trembles.
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MevHuntervip
· 01-07 00:47
Kaneko is really fierce this time; a single word from Trump can trigger a limit-up. The more chaotic the geopolitical situation, the more the central bank buys.
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IronHeadMinervip
· 01-07 00:43
Once again, geopolitical tensions are causing trouble, and gold prices are rising. This move is a bit rushed, but the bottom structure does look similar. --- Can 4600 really be broken? It feels like a close call this time. --- Last year, it increased by 66%, and the central bank was still adding to its holdings. The logic checks out. It's just that I don't dare to go all in. --- Trump's words are really worth more than anything; a single sentence can make gold prices jump. --- The idea of buying the dip is correct, but the question is, where is the dip... --- Both Bollinger Bands and RSI are bullish, so just hold on, technicals speak for themselves. --- The target of 4520-4540 is a bit conservative; why not aim for 4600? --- Weak manufacturing data in the US combined with risk aversion sentiment, double positive signals. Just worried it might be a false rally. --- Talking about reducing positions is easy, but in reality, it's hard to sell at high levels.
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AlphaBrainvip
· 01-07 00:28
Kaneko is really taking off this time, 4600 is not a dream, brothers.
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LiquidationWatchervip
· 01-07 00:26
You're starting to tell stories again. Every time, you say that when gold rises, it's for safe-haven reasons, and even when it falls, it can be spun as safe-haven. Really?
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