2026-01-07 00:50:25

#2026年比特币行情展望 2026 will be an interesting time. From a macro perspective, the Kondratiev cycle is approaching the end of a depression, and the recovery phase is near—such large cycle shifts often trigger a comprehensive revaluation of assets.

After the Bitcoin ETF was approved, institutional funds continued to flow into other sectors, energizing the altcoin market. Ethereum is now the focus—Glamsterdam fork has achieved parallel processing, and the Gas limit has been raised, which means improvements in throughput and transaction costs. Additionally, with ZK technology gradually being integrated into the ecosystem, the long-standing scalability issue finally has a visible solution.

Regulation has become clearer since last year, and institutional money is continuously pouring in. With technological iteration and capital support, this wave of altcoins is not a small-scale event—it could be a comprehensive one. $ETH, as the ecosystem engine, has the most solid technical foundation and the most active developer community, and is very likely to lead this round of market trends. $BNB and $SOL each have their own features, but no one can match Ethereum’s ecosystem depth.

BTC0.12%

ETH0.16%

BNB1.4%

SOL-0.07%

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HodlKumamon

· 21h ago

Hmm... Regarding the Kondratiev wave theory, I think we need to look at the data. Will 2026 be so explosive, or are we being too optimistic now? ETH's technical foundation is indeed solid, but has the gas fee really come down? I need to calculate the historical average to believe it. Institutional capital inflow is a good thing, but we should be cautious of short-term speculation. Dollar-cost averaging is the way to go. This time, the statements are a bit too absolute... Altcoins are fully on board, but retail investors like us should still be cautious. Gas improvements are real, but how long will it take for ZK to be truly applied to the ecosystem? Don't be blinded by promises. Clarification of regulations is definitely beneficial, but I'm worried about sudden policy shifts. Emergency funds should be kept in reserve. The depth of the Ethereum ecosystem is indeed unmatched, but that also means risks are concentrated. Diversified allocation is more sensible. I've heard too many predictions about the Kondratiev wave theory that never came true. It's better to stick to my own asset allocation model.

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FastLeaver

· 23h ago

Alright, ETH this time does have some substance, but don't hype it up too much. I've heard the term Kondratiev cycle quite a bit, but truly profitable opportunities depend on technological implementation and funding, talking only theory is useless. ZK scaling is indeed making moves, but don't forget we said the same thing last year. Institutional funds pouring in? Let's see what the market is like now before jumping to conclusions, don't follow the hype. Mountain is exaggerated; multi-chain ecosystems have already been competitive for a while, I don't think ETH is that absolute.

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PancakeFlippa

· 01-09 17:45

Hey, isn't it? Is ETH really about to take off this time? Why do I feel like I'm just hearing stories again? Gas fees are still insanely high, how many times do I have to say it? If ZK can truly be implemented, then we've won; don't let it be just PPT technology again.

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SchrodingerWallet

· 01-09 00:54

Kondratiev wave cycle in 2026? Sounds good, but this theory always seems to be right... The depth of the ETH ecosystem really can't be shaken, I just don't know if this time institutions will really come in or if it's just another round of harvesting retail investors.

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GoldDiggerDuck

· 01-07 01:16

Hi there, I've heard quite a bit about the Kondratiev wave theory, but 2026 indeed looks a bit different... If ETH really takes off this time, it will depend on how much heat the ZK ecosystem can generate; otherwise, it's just a paper positive. The BNB ecosystem has been mythologized over the past two years, but SOL's speed advantage is still a major flaw, and Ethereum may not be able to completely crush it. Institutions flooding into altcoins? That sounds a bit familiar... They say this every cycle. Are there really that many funds flowing out after the ETF is implemented, or is it just a new story to trap retail investors? Does regulatory clarity mean institutions will dare to enter? I don't think so; what they fear most is the restrictions after clarity. Glamsterdam fork, as a technical implementation, will at most hype the market for half a year, then no one will care anymore. Lower gas fees are a good thing, but real user growth isn't coming; no matter how many improvements are made, it's all in vain.

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LiquidatedAgain

· 01-07 01:14

It's worth a fortune to know earlier. If this overall market trend really arrives in 2026, I need to recalculate my current liquidation price.

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GateUser-1a2ed0b9

· 01-07 01:13

I've heard about the Kondratiev wave cycle quite a few times, and every time they say it needs to be re-evaluated, but the result... However, this time the technical aspect of ETH does look comfortable. Are gas fees finally going to decrease? Is it true or not?

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OnchainFortuneTeller

· 01-07 01:13

The K-wave cycle theory is getting a bit tiresome, but ETH's technology is indeed moving forward. With Glamsterdam's update, can gas fees really come down? It depends on whether the user base can keep up.

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BlockchainArchaeologist

· 01-07 01:12

The theory of Kondratiev waves sounds pretty impressive, but this time the technical iteration of ETH is truly tangible. ZK scaling has finally been implemented, and that's the real deal.

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faded_wojak.eth

· 01-07 00:58

Sisters, is Glamsterdam really that crazy... feels a bit exaggerated The ETH ecosystem is deep, but I still favor SOL for its speed advantage The switch of the Kondratiev cycle sounds huge, but in the end, the market will still depend on the liquidity situation Institutional money is pouring in continuously, but I feel like it hasn't really materialized yet I've heard many 2026 market outlooks, but when the time comes, it will still be a rollercoaster of crashes and surges Altcoins are starting to pick up? Let's wait and see how Bitcoin moves first ZK technology sounds awesome, but can ordinary people actually use it, or is it just another new concept to cut leeks?

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