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Based on the current schedule released by the Federal Reserve and market information, the summary of the January 2026 policy meeting is as follows:
🗓️ Details of the January 2026 Policy Meeting
· Meeting Date: January 28-29, 2026 (Tuesday to Wednesday).
· Decision Announcement Time: The interest rate decision and monetary policy statement are expected to be announced after the conclusion of the January 29 meeting. Additionally, the Chair's press conference will also be held after the decision is announced.
· Market Expectations: According to data from the CME FedWatch Tool as of January 6, the market believes there is an 81.7% probability of holding interest rates steady at the January meeting, and an 18.3% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.
· Key Data Before the Meeting: Before the January meeting, the Federal Reserve will release the Beige Book on January 15, which summarizes economic conditions across the United States and is an important reference for decision-making.
📜 Full Year Policy Meeting Schedule
In addition to the January meeting, the dates for the remaining policy meetings in 2026 have also been confirmed. The meetings in March, June, September, and December will include economic projections (including the dot plot), providing more information and generally having a greater market impact.
For your convenience, below is the core information of the full-year schedule (all dates are the dates of the meetings):
2026 Federal Reserve Policy Meeting Schedule and Highlights
Month Meeting Date Meeting Features
January January 28-29 Announcement of interest rate decision and press conference
March March 18-19 Includes economic projections and dot plot
April 29-30 Announcement of interest rate decision and press conference
June 17-18 Includes economic projections and dot plot
July 29-30 Announcement of interest rate decision and press conference
September 16-17 Includes economic projections and dot plot
October 28-29 Announcement of interest rate decision and press conference
December 9-10 Includes economic projections and dot plot
The Federal Reserve's decisions are highly dependent on economic data, especially inflation and employment data. You can better track developments through the following methods:
· Focus on key data: Inflation (CPI/PCE) and employment (non-farm payroll) reports before the meetings are crucial for influencing decisions and market expectations.
· Listen to officials' statements: Public speeches by Federal Reserve officials, especially regional Fed presidents with voting rights in 2026 (such as Fed of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker), will convey policy information.