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Can Crypto Really Help Countries Dodge Sanctions? The Iran Case Shows Its Limits
There's been talk about Iran turning to digital assets for payments, particularly for weapons transactions. On the surface, it sounds like the perfect workaround—decentralized, borderless, hard to track. Reality? Far messier.
Yes, cryptocurrencies operate across borders without traditional banking intermediaries. But here's where it gets complicated: major crypto exchanges are heavily regulated and compliant with international sanctions frameworks. Moving large volumes for weapons financing? That's exactly what regulators watch for. Transaction patterns get flagged. Wallet addresses get traced. The blockchain's immutability becomes a liability, not a feature—every transaction is permanent, auditable, and potentially incriminating.
The real barriers aren't technical; they're regulatory and logistical. Banks have compliance teams. Exchanges have AML protocols. Stablecoins require institutional backing from regulated entities. Even privacy-focused coins face delisting pressure from major platforms.
What actually happens in practice: smaller, riskier channels emerge. Peer-to-peer transfers. Unregulated platforms. Over-the-counter dealers. These work, but they're slower, costlier, and sketchier. And intelligence agencies have gotten pretty good at mapping these alternative flows.
So can Iran use crypto to bypass sanctions? To some degree, yes. But it's not the game-changer the headlines suggest. The blockchain doesn't change geopolitics—it just makes it more transparent.